Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.80
assuming max odds 2.70
assuming max odds 3.41
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burton Albion (Local): 34.79%; Cambridge United (Visit): 36.79%; Draw: 28.42%. For Cambridge United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -0.658%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -2.59%E -0.925%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -2.59%E -0.925%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 08:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 06:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-03 08:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-03 08:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-03 08:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 09:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 09:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -17.59%E -6.07%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.95%EV -4.68%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.97%EV -4.71%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.08%EV -3.10%E -0.909%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.81%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.71%EV -5.81%E -2.27%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.81%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.71%EV -5.81%E -2.27%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 08:31 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.70%EV -10.96%E -4.53%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-03 01:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -11.70%E -4.87%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.82%EV -6.76%E -2.52%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.74%EV -6.54%E -2.58%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -6.79%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 08:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.82%EV -6.76%E -2.52%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.74%EV -6.54%E -2.58%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -6.79%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 08:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -8.50%E -3.23%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -0.658%E -0.244%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -8.85%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -0.658%E -0.244%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 23:13 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.85%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -9.55%E -3.67%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.55%E -3.67%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -9.55%E -3.67%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -3.23%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -9.55%E -3.67%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.55%E -3.67%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.55%E -3.67%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-03 22:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -11.29%E -4.43%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -11.29%E -4.43%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.658%E -0.244%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.658%E -0.244%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.658%E -0.244%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.658%E -0.244%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.658%E -0.244%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.658%E -0.244%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.658%E -0.244%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 21:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.27%EV -15.46%E -6.36%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -3.23%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 21:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.27%EV -15.46%E -6.36%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -3.23%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 21:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.27%EV -15.46%E -6.36%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -3.23%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.27%EV -15.46%E -6.36%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -3.23%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 21:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -16.50%E -6.88%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 21:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -16.50%E -6.88%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 21:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.16% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.16% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.16% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 12:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.16% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.67% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 10:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.35% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |