Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Burton Albion v Cambridge United

Início: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Final: Burton Albion 2–2 Cambridge United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Burton Albion (Local)

Previsão 34.79%2.87odd justa
EV -2.59%
Vantagem -0.925%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.38%34.93%34.81%37.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.632.682.8041.67%38.06%37.31%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cambridge United (Visitante)

Previsão 36.79%2.72odd justa
EV -0.658%
Vantagem -0.244%
Kelly -0.387%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.43%36.53%36.76%37.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.572.562.7041.67%38.98%39.06%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.42%3.52odd justa
EV -3.10%
Vantagem -0.909%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.34%28.54%28.43%31.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.253.253.4134.48%30.77%30.77%29.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Burton Albion (Local): 34.79%; Cambridge United (Visitante): 36.79%; Empate: 28.42%. Para Cambridge United (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.72. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.70, com valor esperado de -0.658%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -2.59%E -0.925%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -2.59%E -0.925%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 08:10
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:05
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:04
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.18%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 06:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 08:10
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 08:10
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 08:15
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 09:30
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 09:28
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 12:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -4.33%E -1.57%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -17.59%E -6.07%K -9.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 14:10
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.95%EV -4.68%E -1.71%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.97%EV -4.71%E -1.82%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.08%EV -3.10%E -0.909%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.81%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.71%EV -5.81%E -2.27%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.81%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.71%EV -5.81%E -2.27%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 14:15
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 14:05
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 08:31
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.86%E -4.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 08:35
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 08:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 08:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 08:25
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 08:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.70%EV -10.96%E -4.53%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-03 01:50
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -6.07%E -2.25%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -11.70%E -4.87%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 08:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.82%EV -6.76%E -2.52%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.74%EV -6.54%E -2.58%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -6.79%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:30
1xBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.82%EV -6.76%E -2.52%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.74%EV -6.54%E -2.58%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -6.79%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -8.50%E -3.23%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -0.658%E -0.244%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 23:10
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -8.85%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -0.658%E -0.244%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 23:13
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.85%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -9.55%E -3.67%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 22:20
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.55%E -3.67%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 22:20
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -9.55%E -3.67%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -3.23%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:05
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -9.55%E -3.67%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 23:10
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.55%E -3.67%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 21:35
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.55%E -3.67%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.02%E -3.21%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 22:35
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -11.29%E -4.43%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -2.50%E -0.943%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -11.29%E -4.43%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.658%E -0.244%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:24
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.658%E -0.244%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.658%E -0.244%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:25
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.658%E -0.244%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.658%E -0.244%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.658%E -0.244%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:25
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -0.658%E -0.244%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 21:24
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 22:20
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -13.03%E -5.21%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.64%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.27%EV -15.46%E -6.36%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -3.23%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 21:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.27%EV -15.46%E -6.36%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -3.23%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 21:24
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.27%EV -15.46%E -6.36%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -3.23%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 21:25
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.27%EV -15.46%E -6.36%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -3.23%E -1.23%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 21:25
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -16.50%E -6.88%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 21:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -16.50%E -6.88%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -4.34%E -1.67%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 21:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.16%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-09-04 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.16%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-09-04 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.16%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-09-04 12:45
Matchbook◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.16%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-09-04 10:25
Smarkets◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.35%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-09-04 14:30