Language:English
Bradford City v Plymouth Argyle
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bradford City (Local)
Prediction 35.51%2.82fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%35.53%35.62%36.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.602.602.7140.00%38.50%38.46%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Plymouth Argyle (Visit)
Prediction 35.31%2.83fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.405%
Kelly -0.630%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.13%35.32%35.25%36.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.602.8041.67%38.43%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.18%3.43fair odd
EV -0.786%
Edge -0.231%
Kelly -0.328%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.47%29.15%29.13%30.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.14%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bradford City (Local): 35.51%; Plymouth Argyle (Visit): 35.31%; Draw: 29.18%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -0.786%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.53%EV -3.77%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.39%EV -1.13%E -0.405%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 18:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.90%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.90%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -8.96%E -2.87%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 18:33 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.18%EV -4.83%E -1.80%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -3.25%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 16:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.18%EV -4.83%E -1.80%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -3.25%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 18:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.32%EV -6.25%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -5.37%E -2.00%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -8.96%E -2.87%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.70%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.70%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -4.58%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.43%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.13%EV -3.96%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -11.00%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.43%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.13%EV -3.96%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -11.00%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.786%E -0.231%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.786%E -0.231%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.786%E -0.231%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 17:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 15:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.08%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 17:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.08%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 14:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 13:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 18:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 14:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.46%E -4.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.46%E -4.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.46%E -4.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.46%E -4.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 15:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.00%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 18:01 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.08%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -15.26%E -6.36%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -15.96%E -5.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-21 17:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.61% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.78% | 1.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |