La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Bradford City v Plymouth Argyle
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bradford City (Local)
Predicción 35.51%2.82momio equitativo
EV -3.77%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -2.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.37%35.53%35.62%36.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.602.602.7140.00%38.50%38.46%36.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Plymouth Argyle (Visitante)
Predicción 35.31%2.83momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.405%
Kelly -0.630%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.13%35.32%35.25%36.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.602.602.8041.67%38.43%38.46%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.18%3.43momio equitativo
EV -0.786%
Ventaja -0.231%
Kelly -0.328%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.47%29.15%29.13%30.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.14%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.53%EV -3.77%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.39%EV -1.13%E -0.405%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 18:01 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.90%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.90%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -8.96%E -2.87%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 18:33 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.18%EV -4.83%E -1.80%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -3.25%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 16:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.18%EV -4.83%E -1.80%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -3.25%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Neds | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 18:01 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.32%EV -6.25%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -5.37%E -2.00%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -8.96%E -2.87%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.70%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.70%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -4.58%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.43%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.13%EV -3.96%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -11.00%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Betsson | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.43%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.13%EV -3.96%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -11.00%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.786%E -0.231%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.786%E -0.231%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.786%E -0.231%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 17:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 15:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| Bovada | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.08%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 17:39 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.08%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 14:35 |
| TAB | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 13:44 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 18:01 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 14:05 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.46%E -4.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:01 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.46%E -4.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.46%E -4.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.46%E -4.15%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| betPARX | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 18:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 15:30 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.00%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 18:01 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.08%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -15.26%E -6.36%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -15.96%E -5.54%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-21 17:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 1.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.61% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.78% | 1.7% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |