A Escola das Odds

Bradford City v Plymouth Argyle

Início: 2026-04-21 18:45 UTC

Final: Bradford City 1–1 Plymouth Argyle

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Bradford City (Local)

Previsão 35.51%2.82odd justa
EV -3.77%
Vantagem -1.39%
Kelly -2.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.37%35.53%35.62%36.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.602.602.7140.00%38.50%38.46%36.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Plymouth Argyle (Visitante)

Previsão 35.31%2.83odd justa
EV -1.13%
Vantagem -0.405%
Kelly -0.630%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.13%35.32%35.25%36.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.602.602.8041.67%38.43%38.46%35.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.18%3.43odd justa
EV -0.786%
Vantagem -0.231%
Kelly -0.328%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.47%29.15%29.13%30.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.213.253.4034.72%31.14%30.77%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.53%EV -3.77%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.39%EV -1.13%E -0.405%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 18:01
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 18:00
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.90%EV -4.12%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.90%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -8.96%E -2.87%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 18:33
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.18%EV -4.83%E -1.80%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -3.25%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 16:44
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.18%EV -4.83%E -1.80%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -3.25%E -1.19%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 16:45
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 17:40
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 18:00
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 18:00
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 18:01
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.32%EV -6.25%E -2.37%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -5.37%E -2.00%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -8.96%E -2.87%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:35
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.70%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.70%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -4.58%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 18:35
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 18:40
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 18:40
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.43%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.13%EV -3.96%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -11.00%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 17:40
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.43%EV -6.96%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.13%EV -3.96%E -1.46%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -11.00%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 17:40
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.786%E -0.231%K -0.328%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:20
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.786%E -0.231%K -0.328%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:20
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.786%E -0.231%K -0.328%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:20
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:55
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:00
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:00
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 15:30
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 16:45
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.08%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 17:39
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.08%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 17:40
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 14:35
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 13:44
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 18:01
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 14:05
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.46%E -4.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:01
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.46%E -4.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:00
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.46%E -4.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:00
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.67%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -12.46%E -4.15%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:00
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:20
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:20
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:20
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:20
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:20
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -2.25%E -0.670%K -0.955%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:20
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.54%E -3.08%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:10
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -5.16%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 18:00
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 15:30
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.00%E -3.61%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 18:01
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.08%E -2.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 18:10
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.20%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.62%E -2.07%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 17:40
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:20
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -3.70%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -15.26%E -6.36%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -15.96%E -5.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-21 17:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-04-21 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.69%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-04-21 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-04-21 18:40
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-04-21 18:40
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.61%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.78%1.7%2026-04-21 18:40