Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bradford City v Northampton Town

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bradford City (Local)

Prediction 66.84%1.50fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -8.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.08%66.67%66.89%68.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.401.401.4475.19%71.66%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Northampton Town (Visit)

Prediction 12.04%8.30fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -0.286%
Kelly -0.327%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 8.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.49%12.22%11.92%14.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.527.508.1115.38%13.30%13.33%12.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.11%4.74fair odd
EV +0.284%
Edge +0.060%
Kelly +0.076%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.51%21.12%21.18%22.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.414.404.7525.00%22.68%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bradford City (Local): 66.84%; Northampton Town (Visit): 12.04%; Draw: 21.11%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.284%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV +0.284%E +0.060%K +0.076%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 10:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.42%EV -0.771%E -0.164%K -0.208%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.42%EV -0.771%E -0.164%K -0.208%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.82%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%8.11I 12.33%NM 11.79%EV -2.32%E -0.286%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.39%EV -0.982%E -0.209%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.60%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -2.88%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 13:35
LeoVegas🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.91%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -2.88%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.91%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -2.88%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.91%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -2.88%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:15
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 13:05
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:20
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:20
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:20
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:20
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:05
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:50
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -9.76%E -7.23%K -27.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:49
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.69%EV -4.41%E -3.09%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.96%EV -12.68%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:05
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:48
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:04
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 10:00
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.49%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.66%EV -12.68%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.35%EV -8.42%E -6.15%K -22.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.35%EV -8.42%E -6.15%K -22.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:15
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -8.58%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:49
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -8.58%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:34
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 09:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 09:55
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:55
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.17%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.59%EV -12.68%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.11%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.67%EV -13.28%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:50
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.21%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -4.85%E -0.614%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:49
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.21%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -4.85%E -0.614%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:44
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.96%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 09:55
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.38%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:44
Bet Right🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.62%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 09:55
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -4.41%E -3.09%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -21.71%E -3.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:50
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:45
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:45
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.23%EV -11.10%E -8.34%K -33.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -15.55%E -3.89%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-03 12:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.40%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.97%2.2%2026-04-03 13:50