La escuela de los momios

Bradford City v Northampton Town

Inicio: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bradford City (Local)

Predicción 66.84%1.50momio equitativo
EV -3.75%
Ventaja -2.60%
Kelly -8.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.08%66.67%66.89%68.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.401.401.4475.19%71.66%71.43%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Northampton Town (Visitante)

Predicción 12.04%8.30momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -0.286%
Kelly -0.327%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.49%12.22%11.92%14.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.527.508.1115.38%13.30%13.33%12.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.11%4.74momio equitativo
EV +0.284%
Ventaja +0.060%
Kelly +0.076%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.51%21.12%21.18%22.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.414.404.7525.00%22.68%22.73%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV +0.284%E +0.060%K +0.076%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 10:15
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.42%EV -0.771%E -0.164%K -0.208%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 13:35
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.42%EV -0.771%E -0.164%K -0.208%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 67.82%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%8.11I 12.33%NM 11.79%EV -2.32%E -0.286%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.39%EV -0.982%E -0.209%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 13:55
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 67.60%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -2.88%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 13:35
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 66.91%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -2.88%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:15
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 66.91%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -2.88%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:15
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.91%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -2.88%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:15
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 13:05
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:25
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:20
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:20
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:20
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:20
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:20
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:15
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:49
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:05
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:20
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:50
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 11:15
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -9.76%E -7.23%K -27.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:49
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.69%EV -4.41%E -3.09%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.96%EV -12.68%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:05
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:48
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:04
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 10:00
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 66.49%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.66%EV -12.68%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.35%EV -8.42%E -6.15%K -22.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:15
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.35%EV -8.42%E -6.15%K -22.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:15
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -8.58%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:49
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -8.58%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:34
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 09:54
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 09:55
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:55
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 66.17%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.59%EV -12.68%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.11%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.67%EV -13.28%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:50
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.21%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -4.85%E -0.614%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:49
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.21%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -4.85%E -0.614%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:44
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 65.96%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:44
PointsBet (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 09:55
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 65.38%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:44
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 66.62%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 09:55
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -4.41%E -3.09%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -21.71%E -3.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:50
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:45
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:45
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:44
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:45
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.23%EV -11.10%E -8.34%K -33.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -15.55%E -3.89%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-03 12:38
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.40%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.97%2.2%2026-04-03 13:50