A Escola das Odds

Bradford City v Northampton Town

Início: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Bradford City (Local)

Previsão 66.84%1.50odd justa
EV -3.75%
Vantagem -2.60%
Kelly -8.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.08%66.67%66.89%68.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.331.401.401.4475.19%71.66%71.43%69.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Northampton Town (Visitante)

Previsão 12.04%8.30odd justa
EV -2.32%
Vantagem -0.286%
Kelly -0.327%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.49%12.22%11.92%14.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.507.527.508.1115.38%13.30%13.33%12.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.11%4.74odd justa
EV +0.284%
Vantagem +0.060%
Kelly +0.076%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.51%21.12%21.18%22.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.414.404.7525.00%22.68%22.73%21.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV +0.284%E +0.060%K +0.076%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 10:15
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.42%EV -0.771%E -0.164%K -0.208%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 13:35
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.00%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.42%EV -0.771%E -0.164%K -0.208%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 13:40
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 67.82%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%8.11I 12.33%NM 11.79%EV -2.32%E -0.286%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.39%EV -0.982%E -0.209%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 13:55
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 67.60%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -2.88%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 13:35
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 66.91%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -2.88%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:15
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 66.91%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -2.88%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:15
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.91%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -2.88%E -0.627%K -0.801%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:15
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -3.75%E -2.60%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 13:05
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:25
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:20
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:20
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:20
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:20
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:20
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:15
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:49
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:05
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:20
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:50
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 11:15
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -9.76%E -7.23%K -27.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -4.99%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 13:49
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.69%EV -4.41%E -3.09%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.96%EV -12.68%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:05
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:48
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -5.08%E -3.58%K -12.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:04
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 10:00
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 66.49%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.66%EV -12.68%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.35%EV -8.42%E -6.15%K -22.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:15
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.35%EV -8.42%E -6.15%K -22.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -7.11%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:15
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.74%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.58%EV -8.58%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:49
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.09%E -6.69%K -25.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -8.58%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:34
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 09:54
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 09:55
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:55
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 66.17%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.59%EV -12.68%E -1.75%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.11%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.67%EV -13.28%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -9.22%E -2.14%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:50
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.21%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -4.85%E -0.614%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:49
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.21%EV -5.75%E -4.08%K -14.03%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -4.85%E -0.614%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:44
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 65.96%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:44
PointsBet (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 09:55
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 65.38%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -10.27%E -2.42%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:44
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 66.62%EV -7.76%E -5.62%K -20.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -3.65%E -0.456%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 09:55
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 64.08%EV -4.41%E -3.09%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -21.71%E -3.34%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:50
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:45
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:45
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:44
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:45
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -6.42%E -4.59%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -15.69%E -2.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.33%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.23%EV -11.10%E -8.34%K -33.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -9.67%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -15.55%E -3.89%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-03 12:38
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.68%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.40%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.97%2.2%2026-04-03 13:50