Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Blackpool v Wycombe Wanderers

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Final: Blackpool 1–1 Wycombe Wanderers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Blackpool (Local)

Prediction 34.57%2.89fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.83%34.75%34.48%36.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.642.652.8041.67%37.91%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wycombe Wanderers (Visit)

Prediction 37.35%2.68fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.381%
Kelly -0.612%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.21%37.24%37.47%38.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.71%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.07%3.56fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.48%28.01%28.05%29.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.303.303.4331.75%30.33%30.30%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Blackpool (Local): 34.57%; Wycombe Wanderers (Visit): 37.35%; Draw: 28.07%. For Wycombe Wanderers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -1.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.36%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.58%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.05%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 13:49
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 13:49
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 13:34
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 13:45
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 13:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:54
BetUS🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:54
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -5.96%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -5.87%E -2.33%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 13:39
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -5.96%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -5.87%E -2.33%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.41%EV -6.31%E -2.33%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.15%EV -6.24%E -2.49%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -7.92%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 13:34
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 13:34
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 13:48
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 13:47
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:45
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:49
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -10.35%E -4.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 13:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:54
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.35%E -4.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:54
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:55
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:53
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -2.88%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:35
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:34
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:34
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 13:39
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 13:49
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 13:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 13:50
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.43%EV -8.73%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.40%EV -4.00%E -1.56%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.17%EV -6.80%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:49
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:34
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 13:39
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -1.01%E -0.381%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -1.01%E -0.381%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -1.01%E -0.381%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -1.01%E -0.381%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:24
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -1.01%E -0.381%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -1.01%E -0.381%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:29
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -1.01%E -0.381%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 13:35
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -13.57%E -5.43%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -2.88%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 13:33
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -13.57%E -5.43%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.35%E -4.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 13:49
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -14.26%E -5.75%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 13:29
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -14.26%E -5.75%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 13:29
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -15.30%E -6.24%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -15.30%E -6.24%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.74%EV -17.02%E -7.09%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-15 13:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.74%EV -17.02%E -7.09%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-15 13:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.4%2026-08-15 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-15 13:50
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-08-15 13:55