La escuela de los momios

Blackpool v Wycombe Wanderers

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 1

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Blackpool (Local)

Predicción 41.55%2.41momio equitativo
EV -4.44%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -3.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.43%41.56%41.59%42.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.49%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wycombe Wanderers (Visitante)

Predicción 31.43%3.18momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -0.823%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.60%31.37%31.46%32.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.902.883.1035.71%34.51%34.72%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.02%3.70momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -0.762%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.82%27.06%26.94%28.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.413.453.6031.25%29.34%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 16:09
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 19:44
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 15:54
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -4.44%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 19:39
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.74%E -0.762%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 05:39
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 05:38
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.37%EV -6.01%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.95%EV -5.99%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 02:43
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 17:55
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 09:39
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-30 14:19
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.64%EV -6.93%E -3.09%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.40%EV -6.64%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.96%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 04:04
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -7.76%E -3.50%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -6.32%E -2.12%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-16 23:14
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.87%EV -7.76%E -3.50%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -6.32%E -2.12%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-16 23:14
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 05:39
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 05:39
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -2.55%E -0.823%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.55%E -4.23%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 12:55
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-10 10:04
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 08:38
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 16:35
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-16 15:45
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.98%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.45%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-20 19:40
Codere (IT)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 18:35
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 22:14
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -9.42%E -4.32%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -9.50%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 23:40
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.67%E -4.96%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-30 05:39
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.67%E -4.96%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.98%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.85%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-30 05:39
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -11.08%E -5.18%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:49
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -11.08%E -5.18%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -11.08%E -5.18%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -11.08%E -5.18%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -11.08%E -5.18%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -11.08%E -5.18%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -11.08%E -5.18%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -11.08%E -5.18%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -11.08%E -5.18%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -11.08%E -5.18%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -11.08%E -5.18%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -11.08%E -5.18%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 10:20
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -11.08%E -5.18%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.80%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 10:39
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -14.82%E -7.23%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -11.98%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -8.15%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-30 05:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 42.49%2.84I 35.21%NM 31.12%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%13.1%2026-07-08 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 39.97%1.80I 55.56%NM 37.75%3.05I 32.79%NM 22.28%47.2%2026-07-22 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 39.97%1.80I 55.56%NM 37.75%3.05I 32.79%NM 22.28%47.2%2026-07-22 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 39.82%1.80I 55.56%NM 37.61%3.00I 33.33%NM 22.57%47.7%2026-07-23 07:20