Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Blackpool v Wycombe Wanderers

Início: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Final: Blackpool 1–1 Wycombe Wanderers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Blackpool (Local)

Previsão 34.57%2.89odd justa
EV -3.19%
Vantagem -1.14%
Kelly -1.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.83%34.75%34.48%36.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.642.652.8041.67%37.91%37.74%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wycombe Wanderers (Visitante)

Previsão 37.35%2.68odd justa
EV -1.01%
Vantagem -0.381%
Kelly -0.612%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.21%37.24%37.47%38.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.522.502.6541.67%39.71%40.00%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.07%3.56odd justa
EV -3.71%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.48%28.01%28.05%29.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.303.303.4331.75%30.33%30.30%29.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Blackpool (Local): 34.57%; Wycombe Wanderers (Visitante): 37.35%; Empate: 28.07%. Para Wycombe Wanderers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.68. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.65, com valor esperado de -1.01%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.36%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.58%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.05%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 13:49
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 13:49
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 13:34
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 13:45
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 13:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:54
BetUS🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -4.37%E -1.71%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:54
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -5.96%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -5.87%E -2.33%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 13:39
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.14%EV -5.96%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -5.87%E -2.33%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.41%EV -6.31%E -2.33%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.15%EV -6.24%E -2.49%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -7.92%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 13:34
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 13:34
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 13:48
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 13:47
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:45
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:49
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -10.35%E -4.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 13:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:54
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.35%E -4.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:54
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:55
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:53
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -2.88%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:35
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:34
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 13:34
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 13:39
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 13:49
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 13:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.48%E -3.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 13:50
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.43%EV -8.73%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.40%EV -4.00%E -1.56%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.17%EV -6.80%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:49
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:34
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 13:39
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -1.01%E -0.381%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -1.01%E -0.381%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -1.01%E -0.381%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -1.01%E -0.381%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:24
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -1.01%E -0.381%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -1.01%E -0.381%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:29
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -1.01%E -0.381%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 13:35
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -13.57%E -5.43%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -2.88%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 13:33
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -13.57%E -5.43%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.35%E -4.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 13:49
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -14.26%E -5.75%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 13:29
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -14.26%E -5.75%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 13:29
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -15.30%E -6.24%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -15.30%E -6.24%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.74%EV -17.02%E -7.09%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-15 13:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.74%EV -17.02%E -7.09%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -6.61%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-15 13:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.4%2026-08-15 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-15 13:50
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-08-15 13:55