Language:English
Blackpool v Plymouth Argyle
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Blackpool (Local)
Prediction 35.44%2.82fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.43%35.39%35.40%36.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.632.622.7040.00%37.97%38.17%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Plymouth Argyle (Visit)
Prediction 38.82%2.58fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.09%38.88%38.75%40.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.82%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.74%3.88fair odd
EV +1.94%
Edge +0.489%
Kelly +0.654%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 3.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.16%25.73%25.85%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.573.603.9629.85%28.01%27.78%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Blackpool (Local): 35.44%; Plymouth Argyle (Visit): 38.82%; Draw: 25.74%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.96, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.97%EV -5.74%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.87%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.16%EV +1.94%E +0.489%K +0.654%G +0.013% | 4.5% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -6.09%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.18%E -0.574%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -6.80%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -10.71%E -4.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -2.18%E -0.574%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -10.71%E -4.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -2.18%E -0.574%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 20:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.04%EV -6.80%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-16 14:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -6.44%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -6.44%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -6.44%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 08:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -10.71%E -4.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 09:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -10.71%E -4.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 09:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.64%EV -7.51%E -2.88%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.61%E -3.20%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.28%EV -5.27%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 20:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.64%EV -7.51%E -2.88%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.61%E -3.20%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.28%EV -5.27%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 09:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-17 14:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-17 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 09:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.09%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.09%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 07:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.09%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 07:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.09%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 04:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 07:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-15 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 14:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -9.63%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-17 20:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -12.65%E -5.62%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-15 09:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-17 09:11 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.63%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 09:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 15:21 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 15:21 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.04%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.93%EV -9.16%E -3.91%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-13 20:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.71%E -4.66%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-18 14:13 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -6.05%E -2.50%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -11.19%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -6.05%E -2.50%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -11.19%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.09%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-17 16:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 20:26 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 20:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 20:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -6.80%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -13.77%E -4.11%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -6.80%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -13.77%E -4.11%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -6.80%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -13.77%E -4.11%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -9.55%E -4.10%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -13.77%E -4.11%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -9.55%E -4.10%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -13.77%E -4.11%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-12 15:21 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.87% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.25% | 0.3% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18% | 0.5% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.69% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.98% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.10% | 0.9% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.98% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.10% | 0.9% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |