L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Blackpool v Plymouth Argyle

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Score final : Blackpool 2–4 Plymouth Argyle

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Blackpool (Local)

Prévision 35.44%2.82cote équitable
EV -4.32%
Avantage -1.60%
Kelly -2.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.43%35.39%35.40%36.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.632.622.7040.00%37.97%38.17%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Plymouth Argyle (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.82%2.58cote équitable
EV -2.95%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -1.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.09%38.88%38.75%40.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.82%41.67%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.74%3.88cote équitable
EV +1.94%
Avantage +0.489%
Kelly +0.654%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 3.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.16%25.73%25.85%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.573.603.9629.85%28.01%27.78%25.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Blackpool (Local) : 35.44% ; Plymouth Argyle (Visiteur) : 38.82% ; Match nul : 25.74%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.88. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.96, soit une espérance positive de +1.94%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.97%EV -5.74%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.87%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.16%EV +1.94%E +0.489%K +0.654%G +0.013%4.5%2026-09-18 14:10
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -6.09%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -2.18%E -0.574%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 14:04
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -6.80%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -10.71%E -4.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -2.18%E -0.574%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 14:05
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -10.71%E -4.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -2.18%E -0.574%K -0.780%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 15:25
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.04%EV -6.80%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-16 14:01
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -6.44%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -6.44%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:05
BetUS🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.66%EV -6.44%E -2.44%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 08:35
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -10.71%E -4.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 09:55
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -10.71%E -4.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 09:54
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.64%EV -7.51%E -2.88%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.61%E -3.20%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.28%EV -5.27%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 20:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.64%EV -7.51%E -2.88%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.61%E -3.20%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.28%EV -5.27%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 20:25
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 09:40
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 14:01
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.89%E -2.00%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 09:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.09%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.09%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 07:35
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.09%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 07:35
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.09%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 04:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 07:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-15 16:10
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 14:00
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 14:14
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -9.63%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-17 20:25
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -12.65%E -5.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-15 09:45
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-17 09:11
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.63%E -3.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 09:50
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 15:20
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 15:21
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 15:21
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 15:20
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -5.67%E -2.33%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 15:20
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 10:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.04%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.93%EV -9.16%E -3.91%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 20:35
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.71%E -4.66%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 14:13
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -6.05%E -2.50%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -11.19%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 14:05
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -6.05%E -2.50%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -11.19%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.09%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 16:25
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 20:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 20:25
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.15%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.83%E -2.85%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 20:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -6.80%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -13.77%E -4.11%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 15:20
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -6.80%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -13.77%E -4.11%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 15:20
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -6.80%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.77%E -3.73%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -13.77%E -4.11%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 16:10
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -9.55%E -4.10%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -13.77%E -4.11%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-12 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -7.86%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -9.55%E -4.10%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -13.77%E -4.11%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-12 15:21
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.87%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.25%0.3%2026-09-18 15:10
Matchbook◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%0.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.69%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.10%0.9%2026-09-18 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.10%0.9%2026-09-18 14:45