Language:English
Barnsley v Stevenage
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Barnsley (Local)
Prediction 44.55%2.24fair odd
EV +0.243%
Edge +0.108%
Kelly +0.195%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.88%44.34%44.73%46.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.102.102.2550.76%47.73%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stevenage (Visit)
Prediction 27.62%3.62fair odd
EV -0.567%
Edge -0.158%
Kelly -0.218%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.99%27.85%27.52%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.363.353.6032.79%29.75%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.83%3.59fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.744%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.67%27.81%27.75%29.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.283.303.5032.79%30.48%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barnsley (Local): 44.55%; Stevenage (Visit): 27.62%; Draw: 27.83%. For Barnsley (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.243%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV +0.243%E +0.108%K +0.195%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -13.00%E -4.13%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 17:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -1.98%E -0.902%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -1.98%E -0.902%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -1.98%E -0.902%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -1.98%E -0.902%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -1.98%E -0.902%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -15.76%E -5.17%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 17:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 08:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.11%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.17%EV -2.78%E -0.789%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -4.00%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 08:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.10%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -4.00%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 05:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 05:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -6.64%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -5.94%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 08:26 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 08:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -7.33%E -3.52%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -6.64%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -5.94%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -7.33%E -3.52%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -7.33%E -3.52%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 03:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.98%EV -7.78%E -3.76%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 03:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.61%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 08:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -0.567%E -0.158%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -0.567%E -0.158%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 08:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 20:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 20:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 06:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -15.13%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -15.13%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -15.13%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -15.13%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 08:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.90%EV -9.11%E -4.47%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -15.13%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 08:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.90%EV -9.11%E -4.47%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -15.13%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -9.56%E -4.71%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -0.567%E -0.158%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.89%E -5.45%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.61%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.89%E -5.45%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.89%E -5.45%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -12.23%E -6.21%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.50% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.82% | 2.7% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.50% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.82% | 2.7% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.75% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02% | 3.5% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |