Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barnsley v Stevenage

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Score final : Barnsley 1–5 Stevenage

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barnsley (Local)

Prévision 44.55%2.24cote équitable
EV +0.243%
Avantage +0.108%
Kelly +0.195%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.88%44.34%44.73%46.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.972.102.102.2550.76%47.73%47.62%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Stevenage (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.62%3.62cote équitable
EV -0.567%
Avantage -0.158%
Kelly -0.218%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.99%27.85%27.52%30.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.363.353.6032.79%29.75%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.83%3.59cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.744%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.67%27.81%27.75%29.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.283.303.5032.79%30.48%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Barnsley (Local) : 44.55% ; Stevenage (Visiteur) : 27.62% ; Match nul : 27.83%. Pour Barnsley (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.24. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.25, soit une espérance positive de +0.243%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV +0.243%E +0.108%K +0.195%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -13.00%E -4.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 17:39
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -1.98%E -0.902%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -1.98%E -0.902%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 08:20
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -1.98%E -0.902%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -1.98%E -0.902%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 17:40
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -1.98%E -0.902%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -15.76%E -5.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 17:40
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 17:35
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 08:19
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 17:40
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.11%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.17%EV -2.78%E -0.789%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -4.00%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:15
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:19
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:20
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:20
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.10%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -4.00%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:05
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 05:43
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 05:45
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:05
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -6.64%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -5.94%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:40
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 08:25
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 08:26
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 08:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 08:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 08:15
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 08:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -7.33%E -3.52%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -6.64%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -5.94%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 13:30
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -7.33%E -3.52%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 14:05
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -7.33%E -3.52%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 03:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.98%EV -7.78%E -3.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 03:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.61%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 08:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -0.567%E -0.158%K -0.218%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:20
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -0.567%E -0.158%K -0.218%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 08:19
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:55
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 20:50
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 20:50
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 06:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -15.13%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -15.13%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 08:20
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -15.13%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 08:20
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -15.13%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 08:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.90%EV -9.11%E -4.47%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -15.13%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 08:19
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.90%EV -9.11%E -4.47%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -15.13%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 08:20
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -9.56%E -4.71%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -0.567%E -0.158%K -0.218%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 08:20
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.89%E -5.45%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.61%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:05
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.89%E -5.45%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 08:20
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.89%E -5.45%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 08:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -12.23%E -6.21%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 14:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.82%2.7%2026-09-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.82%2.7%2026-09-04 14:10
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.75%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%3.5%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%3.6%2026-09-04 14:05