默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Barnsley v Stevenage

开赛时间: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

最终结果: Barnsley 1–5 Stevenage

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Barnsley (主队)

预测 44.55%2.24公平赔率
EV +0.243%
优势 +0.108%
Kelly +0.195%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布
41.88%44.34%44.73%46.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.972.102.102.2550.76%47.73%47.62%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

Stevenage (客队)

预测 27.62%3.62公平赔率
EV -0.567%
优势 -0.158%
Kelly -0.218%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
25.99%27.85%27.52%30.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.363.353.6032.79%29.75%29.85%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.83%3.59公平赔率
EV -2.61%
优势 -0.744%
Kelly -1.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.67%27.81%27.75%29.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.283.303.5032.79%30.48%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Barnsley (主队):44.55%;Stevenage (客队):27.62%;平局:27.83%。 对于“Barnsley (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.24。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.25,对应+0.243%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV +0.243%E +0.108%K +0.195%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -13.00%E -4.13%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 17:39
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -1.98%E -0.902%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -1.98%E -0.902%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 08:20
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -1.98%E -0.902%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -1.98%E -0.902%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 17:40
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -1.98%E -0.902%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -15.76%E -5.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 17:40
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 17:35
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 08:19
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.21%E -1.96%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -14.38%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 17:40
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.11%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.17%EV -2.78%E -0.789%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -4.00%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 14:15
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:19
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:20
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -5.55%E -2.62%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -12.34%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:20
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.10%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -4.00%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:05
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 05:43
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 05:45
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 14:05
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -6.64%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -5.94%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:40
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 08:25
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 08:26
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 08:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 08:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 08:15
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 08:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -7.33%E -3.52%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -6.64%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -5.94%E -1.76%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 13:30
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -7.33%E -3.52%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 14:05
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -7.33%E -3.52%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 03:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.98%EV -7.78%E -3.76%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 03:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.61%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 08:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -0.567%E -0.158%K -0.218%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:20
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -0.567%E -0.158%K -0.218%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 08:19
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:55
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 20:50
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.17%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 20:50
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.23%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.95%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 06:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -15.13%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -15.13%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 08:20
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -15.13%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 08:20
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -15.13%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 08:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.90%EV -9.11%E -4.47%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -15.13%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 08:19
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.90%EV -9.11%E -4.47%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -15.13%E -4.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 08:20
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -9.56%E -4.71%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -0.567%E -0.158%K -0.218%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.78%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 08:20
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.89%E -5.45%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.61%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:05
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.89%E -5.45%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 08:20
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.89%E -5.45%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -8.85%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.56%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 08:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -12.23%E -6.21%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -3.33%E -0.951%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.39%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 14:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.82%2.7%2026-09-04 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.68%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.82%2.7%2026-09-04 14:10
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.75%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%3.5%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%3.6%2026-09-04 14:05