Language:English
Barnsley v Plymouth Argyle
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Barnsley (Local)
Prediction 31.91%3.13fair odd
EV +0.527%
Edge +0.167%
Kelly +0.245%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.64%31.79%31.95%32.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.922.903.1537.04%34.20%34.48%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Plymouth Argyle (Visit)
Prediction 42.84%2.33fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.20%42.90%42.85%45.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.152.2848.78%46.16%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.25%3.96fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.461%
Kelly -0.621%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.27%25.31%25.20%27.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.623.633.8932.26%27.63%27.59%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barnsley (Local): 31.91%; Plymouth Argyle (Visit): 42.84%; Draw: 25.25%. For Barnsley (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.527%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV +0.527%E +0.167%K +0.245%G +0.001% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -8.75%E -4.11%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV +0.527%E +0.167%K +0.245%G +0.001% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -8.75%E -4.11%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -1.07%E -0.345%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -12.18%E -5.94%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -1.07%E -0.345%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -12.18%E -5.94%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 12:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.88%EV -3.62%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.89%E -2.20%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.75%EV -1.79%E -0.461%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -9.18%E -4.33%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -4.90%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -9.18%E -4.33%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -4.90%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -9.18%E -4.33%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.86%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -10.38%E -2.92%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.86%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -5.86%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.22%EV -4.89%E -2.20%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.47%EV -7.10%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.27%EV -7.77%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -7.10%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.09%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.05%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.05%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.85%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -9.05%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.90%E -3.74%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -9.05%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.90%E -3.74%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.05%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.60%EV -8.75%E -4.11%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -10.38%E -2.92%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -10.64%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -21.74%E -7.01%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -12.24%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -7.85%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.86% | 1.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |