L’École des cotes

Barnsley v Plymouth Argyle

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Barnsley (Local)

Prévision 31.91%3.13cote équitable
EV +0.527%
Avantage +0.167%
Kelly +0.245%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.64%31.79%31.95%32.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.922.903.1537.04%34.20%34.48%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Plymouth Argyle (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.84%2.33cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.20%42.90%42.85%45.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.172.152.2848.78%46.16%46.51%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.25%3.96cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -0.461%
Kelly -0.621%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.27%25.31%25.20%27.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.623.633.8932.26%27.63%27.59%25.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV +0.527%E +0.167%K +0.245%G +0.001%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -8.75%E -4.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:35
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV +0.527%E +0.167%K +0.245%G +0.001%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -8.75%E -4.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -1.07%E -0.345%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -12.18%E -5.94%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -1.07%E -0.345%K -0.509%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -12.18%E -5.94%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 12:04
Pinnacle3.02I 33.11%NM 31.88%EV -3.62%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.89%E -2.20%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.75%EV -1.79%E -0.461%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:45
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:45
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -9.18%E -4.33%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:35
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -4.90%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -9.18%E -4.33%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:44
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -4.90%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -9.18%E -4.33%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:45
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.86%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -10.38%E -2.92%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.86%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 13:45
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -5.86%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:44
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:44
1xBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.22%EV -4.89%E -2.20%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.47%EV -7.10%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:44
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:35
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:35
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:35
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:44
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 13:35
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:44
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:45
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 13:35
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 13:35
Marathon Bet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.27%EV -7.77%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -7.10%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:44
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.09%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:35
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.05%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:45
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.05%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.85%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:44
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -9.05%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.90%E -3.74%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 13:15
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -9.05%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.90%E -3.74%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.05%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.60%EV -8.75%E -4.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -10.38%E -2.92%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -10.64%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -21.74%E -7.01%K -10.35%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-06 13:35
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -12.24%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -7.85%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 13:45
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-06 13:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-04-06 13:35
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-04-06 13:45
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.86%1.8%2026-04-06 13:35