La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Barnsley v Plymouth Argyle
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Barnsley (Local)
Predicción 31.91%3.13momio equitativo
EV +0.527%
Ventaja +0.167%
Kelly +0.245%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.64%31.79%31.95%32.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.922.903.1537.04%34.20%34.48%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Plymouth Argyle (Visitante)
Predicción 42.84%2.33momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.20%42.90%42.85%45.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.172.152.2848.78%46.16%46.51%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.25%3.96momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.461%
Kelly -0.621%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.27%25.31%25.20%27.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.623.633.8932.26%27.63%27.59%25.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV +0.527%E +0.167%K +0.245%G +0.001% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -8.75%E -4.11%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV +0.527%E +0.167%K +0.245%G +0.001% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -8.75%E -4.11%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -1.07%E -0.345%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -12.18%E -5.94%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Bovada | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -1.07%E -0.345%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -12.18%E -5.94%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 12:04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.88%EV -3.62%E -1.20%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.89%E -2.20%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.75%EV -1.79%E -0.461%K -0.621%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -9.18%E -4.33%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -4.90%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -9.18%E -4.33%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -4.90%E -1.64%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -9.18%E -4.33%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.86%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -10.38%E -2.92%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.86%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -5.86%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.33%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.22%EV -4.89%E -2.20%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.47%EV -7.10%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Bet Victor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Casumo | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.07%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.45%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.64%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.27%EV -7.77%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -7.10%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.09%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.05%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.59%E -1.78%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| BetUS | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.05%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -7.85%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -9.05%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.90%E -3.74%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -9.05%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -5.75%E -2.61%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -12.90%E -3.74%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.05%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.60%EV -8.75%E -4.11%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -10.38%E -2.92%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -10.64%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -21.74%E -7.01%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -12.24%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -7.89%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -7.85%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -10.03%E -4.78%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.12%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.86% | 1.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |