Language:English
Barnsley v Leicester City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Barnsley (Local)
Prediction 29.37%3.41fair odd
EV +1.31%
Edge +0.381%
Kelly +0.536%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.13%29.26%29.33%30.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.213.203.4534.48%31.14%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leicester City (Visit)
Prediction 45.84%2.18fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -4.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.68%46.01%45.79%48.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.002.002.0853.19%50.00%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.79%4.03fair odd
EV -0.836%
Edge -0.209%
Kelly -0.279%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.31%24.73%24.88%25.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.763.754.0027.78%26.63%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barnsley (Local): 29.37%; Leicester City (Visit): 45.84%; Draw: 24.79%. For Barnsley (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -10.61%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -10.61%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -11.07%E -5.70%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -11.07%E -5.70%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -11.07%E -5.70%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -11.07%E -5.70%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -11.07%E -5.70%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -11.07%E -5.70%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.46%EV -5.56%E -2.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.54%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-18 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -12.90%E -6.79%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.83%EV -13.36%E -7.07%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -9.51%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -13.82%E -7.35%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.51%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -13.82%E -7.35%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.51%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.80%EV -13.82%E -7.35%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.80%EV -13.82%E -7.35%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 11:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.83%EV -6.48%E -3.18%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.41%EV -8.77%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 09:07 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.70%EV -4.85%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.03%EV -7.40%E -3.66%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.27%EV -8.77%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -0.836%E -0.209%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 10:21 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -4.65%E -2.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 20:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -0.836%E -0.209%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-17 01:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 11:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 11:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -5.56%E -2.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -5.56%E -2.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -5.56%E -2.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 11:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 06:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-15 20:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.19%EV -6.94%E -3.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 06:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -7.40%E -3.66%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 05:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -4.65%E -2.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 11:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -4.65%E -2.23%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.40%E -3.66%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 11:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.40%E -3.66%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 11:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.27%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 11:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.10%EV -8.38%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.08%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 09:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.10%EV -8.38%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.08%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 09:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -0.836%E -0.209%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 11:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 11:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.27%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 11:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 11:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -10.61%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-16 08:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 11:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 11:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 11:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 11:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.10%EV -7.86%E -3.91%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-15 20:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -14.84%E -5.12%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.17%EV -10.61%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-15 20:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 0.5% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 0.5% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.0% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.0% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.0% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |