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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Barnsley v Leicester City

Início: 2026-09-19 11:30 UTC

Final: Barnsley 1–1 Leicester City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Barnsley (Local)

Previsão 29.37%3.41odd justa
EV +1.31%
Vantagem +0.381%
Kelly +0.536%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.13%29.26%29.33%30.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.213.203.4534.48%31.14%31.25%28.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Leicester City (Visitante)

Previsão 45.84%2.18odd justa
EV -4.65%
Vantagem -2.23%
Kelly -4.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.68%46.01%45.79%48.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.882.002.002.0853.19%50.00%50.00%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.79%4.03odd justa
EV -0.836%
Vantagem -0.209%
Kelly -0.279%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.31%24.73%24.88%25.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.763.754.0027.78%26.63%26.67%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Barnsley (Local): 29.37%; Leicester City (Visitante): 45.84%; Empate: 24.79%. Para Barnsley (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.41. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.45, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.31%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -10.61%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -10.61%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -11.07%E -5.70%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -11.07%E -5.70%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 08:25
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -11.07%E -5.70%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 08:25
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -11.07%E -5.70%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -11.07%E -5.70%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -11.07%E -5.70%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 08:25
Pinnacle🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.46%EV -5.56%E -2.70%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.54%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -12.90%E -6.79%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.83%EV -13.36%E -7.07%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -9.51%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -13.82%E -7.35%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.51%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-16 08:25
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -13.82%E -7.35%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.51%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-16 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.80%EV -13.82%E -7.35%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-16 08:25
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.80%EV -13.82%E -7.35%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-16 08:25
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 11:35
1xBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.83%EV -6.48%E -3.18%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.41%EV -8.77%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 09:07
Marathon Bet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.70%EV -4.85%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.03%EV -7.40%E -3.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.27%EV -8.77%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:25
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -0.836%E -0.209%K -0.279%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 10:21
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -4.65%E -2.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 20:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -0.836%E -0.209%K -0.279%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 11:35
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 11:34
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -5.56%E -2.70%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -5.56%E -2.70%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -5.56%E -2.70%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 11:35
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 06:49
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 20:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 06:50
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.19%EV -6.94%E -3.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 06:55
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -7.40%E -3.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 05:50
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -4.65%E -2.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 11:35
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -4.65%E -2.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.40%E -3.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 11:34
Neds🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.40%E -3.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 11:35
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.27%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 11:39
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.10%EV -8.38%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.08%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 09:10
betano_uk🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.10%EV -8.38%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.08%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 09:10
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -0.836%E -0.209%K -0.279%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 11:35
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:25
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 11:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 08:25
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.27%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 11:35
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 11:39
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -10.61%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-16 08:25
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:35
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:35
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 06:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.10%EV -7.86%E -3.91%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 20:35
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -14.84%E -5.12%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.17%EV -10.61%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-15 20:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Matchbook◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-18 15:20