L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Barnsley v Leicester City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 11:30 UTC

Score final : Barnsley 1–1 Leicester City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barnsley (Local)

Prévision 29.37%3.41cote équitable
EV +1.31%
Avantage +0.381%
Kelly +0.536%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.13%29.26%29.33%30.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.213.203.4534.48%31.14%31.25%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Leicester City (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.84%2.18cote équitable
EV -4.65%
Avantage -2.23%
Kelly -4.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.68%46.01%45.79%48.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.882.002.002.0853.19%50.00%50.00%48.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.79%4.03cote équitable
EV -0.836%
Avantage -0.209%
Kelly -0.279%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.31%24.73%24.88%25.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.763.754.0027.78%26.63%26.67%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Barnsley (Local) : 29.37% ; Leicester City (Visiteur) : 45.84% ; Match nul : 24.79%. Pour Barnsley (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.41. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.45, soit une espérance positive de +1.31%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -10.61%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -10.61%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -11.07%E -5.70%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -11.07%E -5.70%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 08:25
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -11.07%E -5.70%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 08:25
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -11.07%E -5.70%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -11.07%E -5.70%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV +1.31%E +0.381%K +0.536%G +0.007%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -11.07%E -5.70%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 08:25
Pinnacle🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.46%EV -5.56%E -2.70%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.54%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -12.90%E -6.79%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.83%EV -13.36%E -7.07%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -9.51%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 08:25
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -13.82%E -7.35%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.51%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-16 08:25
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.97%EV -13.82%E -7.35%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.51%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-16 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.80%EV -13.82%E -7.35%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-16 08:25
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -3.09%E -0.937%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.80%EV -13.82%E -7.35%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-16 08:25
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 11:35
1xBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.56%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.83%EV -6.48%E -3.18%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.41%EV -8.77%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 09:07
Marathon Bet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.70%EV -4.85%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.03%EV -7.40%E -3.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.27%EV -8.77%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:25
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -0.836%E -0.209%K -0.279%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 10:21
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -4.65%E -2.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 20:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -0.836%E -0.209%K -0.279%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 11:35
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 11:34
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -5.56%E -2.70%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -5.56%E -2.70%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.60%EV -5.56%E -2.70%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:20
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 11:35
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 06:49
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 20:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 06:50
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.19%EV -6.94%E -3.42%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 06:55
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -7.40%E -3.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 05:50
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -4.65%E -2.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 11:35
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -4.65%E -2.23%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.40%E -3.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 11:34
Neds🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.40%E -3.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 11:35
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.27%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 11:39
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.10%EV -8.38%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.08%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 09:10
betano_uk🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.10%EV -8.38%E -2.68%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.08%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 09:10
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -0.836%E -0.209%K -0.279%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 11:35
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 15:25
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -7.03%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 11:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -3.32%E -0.850%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 08:25
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.27%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 11:35
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.02%E -2.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 11:39
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -10.61%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-16 08:25
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:35
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 11:35
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -8.31%E -4.16%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 06:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.10%EV -7.86%E -3.91%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 20:35
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -14.84%E -5.12%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.17%EV -10.61%E -5.44%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-15 20:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Matchbook◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-18 15:20