Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnsley v Bromley FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Final: Barnsley 0–1 Bromley FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnsley (Local)

Prediction 41.89%2.39fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.55%41.98%41.85%43.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3248.78%45.37%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bromley FC (Visit)

Prediction 30.94%3.23fair odd
EV -0.985%
Edge -0.308%
Kelly -0.448%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.86%30.86%30.97%32.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.023.003.2034.48%33.07%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.17%3.68fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.610%
Kelly -0.845%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%27.16%27.18%28.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.383.403.6031.75%29.57%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barnsley (Local): 41.89%; Bromley FC (Visit): 30.94%; Draw: 27.17%. For Bromley FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -0.985%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -2.81%E -1.21%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 13:54
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.99%EV -4.07%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.62%EV -2.84%E -0.905%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.39%EV -4.64%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.20%E -0.610%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:19
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.20%E -0.610%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:19
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 13:05
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:38
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 12:59
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:00
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:00
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:00
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.98%EV -6.58%E -2.95%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.80%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.22%EV -6.54%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.80%EV -6.58%E -2.95%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.46%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -8.72%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:54
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -7.00%E -3.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:34
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -7.00%E -3.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:34
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.985%E -0.308%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.985%E -0.308%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.985%E -0.308%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.985%E -0.308%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:34
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.985%E -0.308%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.985%E -0.308%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:34
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.985%E -0.308%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:34
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 13:19
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.20%E -0.610%K -0.845%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 13:23
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 13:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:19
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:24
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:54
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:19
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 13:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:19
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:19
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:19
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 13:49
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 13:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.51%EV -8.26%E -3.77%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 13:19
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.94%E -4.62%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 13:04
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.19%EV -10.35%E -4.84%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.19%EV -10.35%E -4.84%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 13:34
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.19%EV -10.35%E -4.84%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 13:34
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.19%EV -10.35%E -4.84%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 13:34
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -12.03%E -5.73%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -0.985%E -0.308%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:39
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -12.03%E -5.73%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 12:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -12.03%E -5.73%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -14.42%E -4.58%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 13:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -12.03%E -5.73%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -14.42%E -4.58%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 13:34
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.12%E -6.89%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 13:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-08-15 13:55
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-08-15 13:30
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-08-15 13:55