Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Barnsley v Bromley FC

Início: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Final: Barnsley 0–1 Bromley FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Barnsley (Local)

Previsão 41.89%2.39odd justa
EV -2.81%
Vantagem -1.21%
Kelly -2.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.55%41.98%41.85%43.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.202.202.3248.78%45.37%45.45%43.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Bromley FC (Visitante)

Previsão 30.94%3.23odd justa
EV -0.985%
Vantagem -0.308%
Kelly -0.448%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.86%30.86%30.97%32.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.023.003.2034.48%33.07%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.17%3.68odd justa
EV -2.20%
Vantagem -0.610%
Kelly -0.845%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.79%27.16%27.18%28.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.383.403.6031.75%29.57%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Barnsley (Local): 41.89%; Bromley FC (Visitante): 30.94%; Empate: 27.17%. Para Bromley FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.23. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.20, com valor esperado de -0.985%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -2.81%E -1.21%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 13:54
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -3.65%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 13:54
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.99%EV -4.07%E -1.78%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.62%EV -2.84%E -0.905%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.39%EV -4.64%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.20%E -0.610%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:19
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.20%E -0.610%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:19
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 13:05
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:38
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 12:59
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 13:00
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:00
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.75%E -2.55%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:00
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.98%EV -6.58%E -2.95%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.80%EV -5.94%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.22%EV -6.54%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.80%EV -6.58%E -2.95%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.46%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -8.72%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 13:54
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -7.00%E -3.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:34
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.57%EV -7.00%E -3.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:34
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.985%E -0.308%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.985%E -0.308%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.985%E -0.308%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.985%E -0.308%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:34
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.985%E -0.308%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.985%E -0.308%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:34
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.985%E -0.308%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:34
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 13:19
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -2.20%E -0.610%K -0.845%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 13:23
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 13:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:19
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:24
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:54
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:19
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 13:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:19
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:19
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:19
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 13:49
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.84%E -3.56%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 13:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.51%EV -8.26%E -3.77%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.99%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 13:19
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.94%E -4.62%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.35%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 13:04
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.19%EV -10.35%E -4.84%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.19%EV -10.35%E -4.84%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 13:34
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.19%EV -10.35%E -4.84%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 13:34
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.19%EV -10.35%E -4.84%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 13:34
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -12.03%E -5.73%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -0.985%E -0.308%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 13:39
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -12.03%E -5.73%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 12:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -12.03%E -5.73%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -14.42%E -4.58%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 13:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -12.03%E -5.73%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -14.42%E -4.58%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 13:34
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -14.12%E -6.89%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 13:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-08-15 13:55
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-08-15 13:30
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-08-15 13:55