Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Ham United v Fulham

2026-09-15 18:45 UTC — EFL Cup

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Ham United (Local)

Prediction 30.24%3.31fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.341%
Kelly -0.491%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.97%30.43%29.89%32.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.952.903.2737.74%33.90%34.48%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fulham (Visit)

Prediction 43.29%2.31fair odd
EV +0.859%
Edge +0.369%
Kelly +0.646%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.13%43.03%43.44%44.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.152.3350.00%45.65%46.51%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.47%3.78fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.554%
Kelly -0.760%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.02%26.54%26.67%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.463.453.7030.77%28.88%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: West Ham United (Local): 30.24%; Fulham (Visit): 43.29%; Draw: 26.47%. For Fulham (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. 10 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.33, producing a positive expected value of +0.859%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -12.91%E -4.48%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV +0.859%E +0.369%K +0.646%G +0.006%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 15:45
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -12.91%E -4.48%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV +0.859%E +0.369%K +0.646%G +0.006%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -12.91%E -4.48%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV +0.859%E +0.369%K +0.646%G +0.006%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -12.91%E -4.48%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV +0.859%E +0.369%K +0.646%G +0.006%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 16:40
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -12.91%E -4.48%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV +0.859%E +0.369%K +0.646%G +0.006%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 16:44
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -12.91%E -4.48%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV +0.859%E +0.369%K +0.646%G +0.006%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -12.91%E -4.48%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV +0.859%E +0.369%K +0.646%G +0.006%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -12.91%E -4.48%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV +0.859%E +0.369%K +0.646%G +0.006%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 16:44
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -12.91%E -4.48%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV +0.859%E +0.369%K +0.646%G +0.006%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 16:50
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -12.91%E -4.48%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV +0.859%E +0.369%K +0.646%G +0.006%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -8.67%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -13.82%E -4.85%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 16:45
1xBet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.82%EV -2.02%E -0.624%K -0.902%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.33%EV -3.47%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-03 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -2.02%E -0.624%K -0.902%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.55%EV -4.34%E -1.96%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -13.82%E -4.85%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -18.35%E -6.80%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -13.96%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-03 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -18.35%E -6.80%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -13.96%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-03 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -18.35%E -6.80%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -4.77%E -2.17%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -13.96%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-03 16:39
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -15.33%E -5.47%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -5.63%E -2.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.05%E -0.554%K -0.760%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 19:05
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:55
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 15:00
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 15:00
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.64%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 15:00
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-03 14:00
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.93%E -3.22%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-03 14:00
Pinnacle🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 28.97%EV -1.11%E -0.341%K -0.491%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -7.37%E -3.44%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.76%EV -6.29%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:05
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.43%EV -7.77%E -2.55%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%EV -8.23%E -3.88%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 19:05
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.26%E -2.02%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.10%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 19:04
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.10%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 19:05
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.10%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 19:03
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.10%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.96%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.10%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.96%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.10%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.96%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -18.35%E -6.80%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -9.10%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.63%EV -19.86%E -7.50%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -9.10%E -4.33%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.20%EV -12.64%E -3.83%K -5.50%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -12.30%E -4.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -11.26%E -5.49%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -4.70%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 15:14
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -9.28%E -3.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -13.43%E -6.71%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.99%E -2.94%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-03 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-03 14:00