Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Ham United v Fulham

Kickoff: 2026-09-15 18:45 UTC

Final: West Ham United 2–3 Fulham

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Ham United (Local)

Prediction 37.26%2.68fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.906%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.88%37.35%37.14%38.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.502.6243.48%40.28%40.00%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fulham (Visit)

Prediction 36.81%2.72fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.641%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.93%36.80%36.86%38.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.532.552.6742.55%39.57%39.22%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.93%3.86fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.285%
Kelly +0.383%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.85%25.85%25.99%27.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.603.603.9030.30%27.81%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Ham United (Local): 37.26%; Fulham (Visit): 36.81%; Draw: 25.93%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.22%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.78%EV -2.45%E -0.924%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.99%EV +1.11%E +0.285%K +0.383%G +0.004%2.6%2026-09-15 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.22%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.78%EV -2.45%E -0.924%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.99%EV +1.11%E +0.285%K +0.383%G +0.004%2.6%2026-09-15 17:55
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -2.78%E -0.741%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 18:36
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -2.78%E -0.741%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 17:50
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -14.30%E -6.22%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -11.65%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -2.78%E -0.741%K -1.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.54%EV -3.86%E -1.50%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.71%E -0.641%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-15 18:25
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.00%EV -3.12%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.00%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 18:35
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 18:38
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 18:25
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:25
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 17:55
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 17:55
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.63%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -5.11%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.63%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -5.11%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 18:20
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.88%EV -2.75%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.74%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.37%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 18:41
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.65%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.65%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 18:25
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.53%EV -11.32%E -4.75%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -13.49%E -5.74%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.47%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 18:00
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:40
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:26
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 18:36
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -9.45%E -3.89%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 17:55
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -9.45%E -3.89%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 17:55
1xBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.66%EV -3.49%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.66%EV -4.66%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.67%EV -7.70%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 18:35
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -9.81%E -4.00%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -8.71%E -3.51%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -8.71%E -3.51%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 17:55
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -8.71%E -3.51%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 17:55
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:35
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 18:40
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -2.37%E -0.906%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 18:40
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -2.37%E -0.906%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.96%EV -13.18%E -5.66%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.40%EV -10.55%E -4.34%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-15 17:55
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 18:40
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 18:20
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.81%E -4.00%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-15 18:35
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.81%E -4.00%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-15 18:36
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.04%EV -9.83%E -4.06%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.81%E -4.00%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-15 18:40
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.81%E -4.00%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.44%E -4.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.59%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.54%0.5%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.76%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.76%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.49%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.8%2026-09-15 18:40