Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

West Ham United v Fulham

Inicio: 2026-09-15 18:45 UTC

Final: West Ham United 2–3 Fulham

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

West Ham United (Local)

Predicción 37.26%2.68momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -0.906%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.88%37.35%37.14%38.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.482.502.6243.48%40.28%40.00%38.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Fulham (Visitante)

Predicción 36.81%2.72momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -0.641%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.93%36.80%36.86%38.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.532.552.6742.55%39.57%39.22%37.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 25.93%3.86momio equitativo
EV +1.11%
Ventaja +0.285%
Kelly +0.383%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.85%25.85%25.99%27.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.603.603.9030.30%27.81%27.78%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: West Ham United (Local): 37.26%; Fulham (Visitante): 36.81%; Empate: 25.93%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.86. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.11%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.22%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.78%EV -2.45%E -0.924%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.99%EV +1.11%E +0.285%K +0.383%G +0.004%2.6%2026-09-15 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.22%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.78%EV -2.45%E -0.924%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.99%EV +1.11%E +0.285%K +0.383%G +0.004%2.6%2026-09-15 17:55
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -2.78%E -0.741%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 18:36
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -2.78%E -0.741%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 17:50
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -14.30%E -6.22%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -11.65%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -2.78%E -0.741%K -1.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.54%EV -3.86%E -1.50%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.71%E -0.641%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-15 18:25
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.00%EV -3.12%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.00%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 18:35
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 18:38
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 18:25
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:25
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 17:55
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 17:55
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.63%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -5.11%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.63%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -5.11%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 18:20
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.88%EV -2.75%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.74%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.37%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 18:41
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.65%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.65%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 18:25
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.53%EV -11.32%E -4.75%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -13.49%E -5.74%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.47%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 18:00
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:40
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:26
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 18:36
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -9.45%E -3.89%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 17:55
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -9.45%E -3.89%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 17:55
1xBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.66%EV -3.49%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.66%EV -4.66%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.67%EV -7.70%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 18:35
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -9.81%E -4.00%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -8.71%E -3.51%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -8.71%E -3.51%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 17:55
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -8.71%E -3.51%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 17:55
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:35
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 18:40
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -2.37%E -0.906%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 18:40
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -2.37%E -0.906%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.96%EV -13.18%E -5.66%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.40%EV -10.55%E -4.34%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-15 17:55
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 18:40
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 18:20
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.81%E -4.00%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-15 18:35
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.81%E -4.00%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-15 18:36
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.04%EV -9.83%E -4.06%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.81%E -4.00%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-15 18:40
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.81%E -4.00%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.44%E -4.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 18:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.59%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.54%0.5%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.76%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.76%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.49%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.8%2026-09-15 18:40