Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

West Ham United v Fulham

Início: 2026-09-15 18:45 UTC

Final: West Ham United 2–3 Fulham

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

West Ham United (Local)

Previsão 37.26%2.68odd justa
EV -2.37%
Vantagem -0.906%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.88%37.35%37.14%38.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.482.502.6243.48%40.28%40.00%38.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Fulham (Visitante)

Previsão 36.81%2.72odd justa
EV -1.71%
Vantagem -0.641%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.93%36.80%36.86%38.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.532.552.6742.55%39.57%39.22%37.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.93%3.86odd justa
EV +1.11%
Vantagem +0.285%
Kelly +0.383%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.85%25.85%25.99%27.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.603.603.9030.30%27.81%27.78%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: West Ham United (Local): 37.26%; Fulham (Visitante): 36.81%; Empate: 25.93%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.86. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.90, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.11%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.22%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.78%EV -2.45%E -0.924%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.99%EV +1.11%E +0.285%K +0.383%G +0.004%2.6%2026-09-15 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.22%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.78%EV -2.45%E -0.924%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.99%EV +1.11%E +0.285%K +0.383%G +0.004%2.6%2026-09-15 17:55
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -2.78%E -0.741%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 18:36
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -2.78%E -0.741%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 17:50
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -14.30%E -6.22%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -11.65%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -2.78%E -0.741%K -1.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.54%EV -3.86%E -1.50%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.71%E -0.641%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-15 18:25
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.00%EV -3.12%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.00%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 18:35
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 18:38
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 18:25
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:25
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 17:55
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 17:55
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -4.07%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.63%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -5.11%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.63%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -5.11%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 18:20
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.88%EV -2.75%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.74%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.37%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 18:41
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.65%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.65%E -4.85%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 18:25
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.53%EV -11.32%E -4.75%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -13.49%E -5.74%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.47%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 18:00
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:40
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 18:26
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.29%E -1.65%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 18:36
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -9.45%E -3.89%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 17:55
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.78%EV -9.45%E -3.89%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 17:55
1xBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.66%EV -3.49%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.66%EV -4.66%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.67%EV -7.70%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 18:35
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -9.81%E -4.00%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -8.71%E -3.51%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -8.71%E -3.51%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 17:55
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.60%EV -8.71%E -3.51%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -7.96%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 17:55
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:35
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 18:40
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -2.37%E -0.906%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 18:40
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -2.37%E -0.906%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.96%EV -13.18%E -5.66%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.40%EV -10.55%E -4.34%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.55%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-15 17:55
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.13%E -2.40%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 18:40
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.85%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-15 18:20
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.97%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.81%E -4.00%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-15 18:35
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.81%E -4.00%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-15 18:36
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.04%EV -9.83%E -4.06%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.81%E -4.00%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-15 18:40
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.81%E -4.00%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -14.44%E -4.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-15 18:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.59%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.54%0.5%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.76%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.76%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.49%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-09-15 18:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.8%2026-09-15 18:40