Language:English
Tranmere Rovers v Rochdale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tranmere Rovers (Local)
Prediction 32.84%3.05fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.85%32.79%32.82%34.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.822.822.9237.74%35.45%35.46%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rochdale (Visit)
Prediction 38.99%2.56fair odd
EV -0.569%
Edge -0.223%
Kelly -0.367%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%38.97%39.03%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.402.5544.44%41.49%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.17%3.55fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.11%28.25%28.15%30.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.233.233.4232.79%30.98%31.01%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tranmere Rovers (Local): 32.84%; Rochdale (Visit): 38.99%; Draw: 28.17%. For Rochdale (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -0.569%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.62%EV -4.11%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.53%EV -6.03%E -2.50%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.66%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.62%EV -4.11%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.53%EV -6.03%E -2.50%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.66%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 13:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 13:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.45%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -7.59%E -3.20%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 03:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.97%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.58%EV -3.69%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -5.63%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -5.43%E -1.88%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 13:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -5.43%E -1.88%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -5.43%E -1.88%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 13:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 13:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 13:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 13:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.76%EV -7.40%E -2.62%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.45%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 13:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.76%EV -7.40%E -2.62%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.45%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 13:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -0.569%E -0.223%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -0.569%E -0.223%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -0.569%E -0.223%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -0.569%E -0.223%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-01 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.45%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-01 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 13:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 13:57 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -5.63%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-01 13:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -14.08%E -4.62%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -14.08%E -4.62%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -14.08%E -4.62%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-01 13:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.12%EV -10.02%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.31%EV -4.86%E -1.99%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.57%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.42%EV -8.76%E -3.74%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.28%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-01 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 13:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -12.27%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-01 13:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -12.98%E -4.90%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.27%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -11.27%E -3.58%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-01 13:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-08-01 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19% | 1.4% | 2026-08-01 13:50 |
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