Tranmere Rovers v Rochdale

2026-08-01 14:00 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Tranmere Rovers (Local)

Odds

2.0548.78%Min

2.1047.56%Mean

2.1047.62%Median

2.1546.51%Max

Consensus probabilities

42.56%2.350Min

44.10%2.268Max

43.22%2.314Mean

43.12%2.319Median

43.16%2.317IQM

43.28%2.311Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.15 under the IQM model: 43.16%

EV -7.21%Edge -3.35%Kelly -6.27%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Rochdale (Visit)

Odds

2.8035.71%Min

2.8535.08%Mean

2.8035.71%Median

3.0532.79%Max

Consensus probabilities

30.60%3.268Min

32.47%3.080Max

31.63%3.161Mean

31.95%3.130Median

31.70%3.154IQM

31.62%3.163Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.05 under the IQM model: 31.70%

EV -3.31%Edge -1.08%Kelly -1.61%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.4029.41%Min

3.6427.49%Mean

3.6027.78%Median

3.7526.67%Max

Consensus probabilities

24.24%4.125Min

26.10%3.831Max

25.15%3.976Mean

24.93%4.011Median

25.14%3.978IQM

25.10%3.984Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.75 under the IQM model: 25.14%

EV -5.73%Edge -1.53%Kelly -2.08%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Tranmere Rovers (Local) ▼	Rochdale (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.28%EV -5.05% E -2.30% K -4.21% G +0.000%	3.04I 32.89% NM 31.32%EV -3.62% E -1.19% K -1.78% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 25.39%EV -5.73% E -1.53% K -2.08% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-27 20:10
Betr (AU)	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.74%EV -7.21% E -3.35% K -6.27% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 30.84%EV -3.31% E -1.08% K -1.61% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.42%EV -6.99% E -1.89% K -2.59% G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-06-30 02:59
1xBet	2.13I 46.95% NM 42.62%EV -8.07% E -3.79% K -7.14% G +0.000%	2.86I 34.97% NM 31.74%EV -9.33% E -3.26% K -5.02% G +0.000%	3.54I 28.25% NM 25.64%EV -11.01% E -3.11% K -4.33% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-07-05 11:33
LeoVegas	2.12I 47.17% NM 43.31%EV -8.51% E -4.01% K -7.59% G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09% NM 32.21%EV -9.65% E -3.38% K -5.21% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 24.48%EV -5.73% E -1.53% K -2.08% G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-07-02 10:20
Marathon Bet	2.11I 47.39% NM 42.56%EV -8.94% E -4.24% K -8.05% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.07%EV -11.23% E -4.01% K -6.24% G +0.000%	3.54I 28.25% NM 25.37%EV -11.01% E -3.11% K -4.33% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-07-05 11:30
SportsBet	2.10I 47.62% NM 44.10%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.87%EV -4.89% E -1.63% K -2.45% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.03%EV -6.99% E -1.89% K -2.59% G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-06-26 11:49
Paddy Power	2.10I 47.62% NM 44.10%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.87%EV -4.89% E -1.63% K -2.45% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.03%EV -6.99% E -1.89% K -2.59% G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-06-26 11:48
Sky Bet	2.10I 47.62% NM 44.10%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.87%EV -4.89% E -1.63% K -2.45% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.03%EV -6.99% E -1.89% K -2.59% G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-06-26 14:29
FanDuel	2.10I 47.62% NM 44.10%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.87%EV -4.89% E -1.63% K -2.45% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.03%EV -6.99% E -1.89% K -2.59% G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-06-26 14:39
William Hill	2.10I 47.62% NM 43.29%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.47%EV -11.23% E -4.01% K -6.24% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 24.24%EV -5.73% E -1.53% K -2.08% G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-06-30 14:00
888sport	2.10I 47.62% NM 43.29%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.47%EV -11.23% E -4.01% K -6.24% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 24.24%EV -5.73% E -1.53% K -2.08% G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)	2.10I 47.62% NM 43.29%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.47%EV -11.23% E -4.01% K -6.24% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 24.24%EV -5.73% E -1.53% K -2.08% G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)	2.10I 47.62% NM 43.29%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.47%EV -11.23% E -4.01% K -6.24% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 24.24%EV -5.73% E -1.53% K -2.08% G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-06-30 14:19
BetRivers	2.10I 47.62% NM 42.86%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.14%EV -11.23% E -4.01% K -6.24% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.00%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX	2.10I 47.62% NM 42.86%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.14%EV -11.23% E -4.01% K -6.24% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.00%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)	2.10I 47.62% NM 42.86%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.14%EV -11.23% E -4.01% K -6.24% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.00%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)	2.10I 47.62% NM 42.86%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.14%EV -11.23% E -4.01% K -6.24% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.00%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:30
Grosvenor	2.10I 47.62% NM 42.86%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.14%EV -11.23% E -4.01% K -6.24% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.00%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet	2.10I 47.62% NM 42.86%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.14%EV -11.23% E -4.01% K -6.24% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.00%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet	2.10I 47.62% NM 42.86%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.14%EV -11.23% E -4.01% K -6.24% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.00%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo	2.10I 47.62% NM 42.86%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.14%EV -11.23% E -4.01% K -6.24% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.00%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)	2.10I 47.62% NM 42.86%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.14%EV -11.23% E -4.01% K -6.24% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.00%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel	2.10I 47.62% NM 42.86%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.14%EV -11.23% E -4.01% K -6.24% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.00%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch	2.10I 47.62% NM 42.86%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.14%EV -11.23% E -4.01% K -6.24% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.00%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet	2.10I 47.62% NM 42.86%EV -9.37% E -4.46% K -8.52% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.14%EV -11.23% E -4.01% K -6.24% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.00%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-30 08:39
BoyleSports	2.05I 48.78% NM 43.29%EV -11.53% E -5.62% K -10.98% G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48% NM 30.60%EV -8.06% E -2.78% K -4.24% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.10%EV -14.53% E -4.27% K -6.05% G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-06-27 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.00I 50.00% NM 42.74%EV -13.68% E -6.84% K -13.68% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 29.68%EV -8.69% E -3.02% K -4.62% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 27.58%EV -22.07% E -7.12% K -10.51% G +0.000%	17.0%	2026-06-26 11:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Tranmere Rovers (Local)	Rochdale (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-27 20:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-27 20:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-27 20:20