Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tranmere Rovers v Rochdale

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-01 14:00 UTC

Score final : Tranmere Rovers 2–2 Rochdale

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tranmere Rovers (Local)

Prévision 32.84%3.05cote équitable
EV -4.11%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -2.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.85%32.79%32.82%34.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.652.822.822.9237.74%35.45%35.46%34.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rochdale (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.99%2.56cote équitable
EV -0.569%
Avantage -0.223%
Kelly -0.367%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.59%38.97%39.03%40.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.412.402.5544.44%41.49%41.67%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.17%3.55cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.11%28.25%28.15%30.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.233.233.4232.79%30.98%31.01%29.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tranmere Rovers (Local) : 32.84% ; Rochdale (Visiteur) : 38.99% ; Match nul : 28.17%. Pour Rochdale (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.56. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.55, pour une espérance de -0.569% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.62%EV -4.11%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.53%EV -6.03%E -2.50%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.66%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.62%EV -4.11%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.53%EV -6.03%E -2.50%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.66%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 13:19
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 13:54
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 13:35
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 13:55
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 13:55
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.45%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -7.59%E -3.20%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 13:55
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 03:49
Pinnacle🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.97%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.58%EV -3.69%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -5.63%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 13:50
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -5.43%E -1.88%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 13:59
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -5.43%E -1.88%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -5.43%E -1.88%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 13:34
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:35
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:59
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 13:29
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.76%EV -7.40%E -2.62%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.45%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 13:44
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.76%EV -7.40%E -2.62%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.45%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 13:44
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -0.569%E -0.223%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 13:55
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -0.569%E -0.223%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -0.569%E -0.223%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 13:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -0.569%E -0.223%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 13:54
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 13:45
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 13:45
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.45%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 13:59
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 13:44
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 13:57
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -5.63%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 13:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -14.08%E -4.62%K -6.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -14.08%E -4.62%K -6.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -14.08%E -4.62%K -6.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 13:59
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 13:54
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 13:49
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.12%EV -10.02%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.31%EV -4.86%E -1.99%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.57%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.42%EV -8.76%E -3.74%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.28%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 13:59
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -12.27%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 13:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -12.98%E -4.90%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.27%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -11.27%E -3.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 13:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-08-01 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-08-01 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-08-01 13:55
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-08-01 13:50