Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tranmere Rovers v Rochdale

Inicio: 2026-08-01 14:00 UTC

Final: Tranmere Rovers 2–2 Rochdale

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tranmere Rovers (Local)

Predicción 32.84%3.05momio equitativo
EV -4.11%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -2.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.85%32.79%32.82%34.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.652.822.822.9237.74%35.45%35.46%34.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rochdale (Visitante)

Predicción 38.99%2.56momio equitativo
EV -0.569%
Ventaja -0.223%
Kelly -0.367%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%38.97%39.03%40.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.412.402.5544.44%41.49%41.67%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 28.17%3.55momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.11%28.25%28.15%30.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.233.233.4232.79%30.98%31.01%29.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tranmere Rovers (Local): 32.84%; Rochdale (Visitante): 38.99%; Empate: 28.17%. Para Rochdale (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.56. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.55, con un valor esperado de -0.569%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.62%EV -4.11%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.53%EV -6.03%E -2.50%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.66%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.62%EV -4.11%E -1.41%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.53%EV -6.03%E -2.50%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -3.66%E -1.07%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 13:19
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 13:54
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 13:35
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 13:55
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 13:55
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.45%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -7.59%E -3.20%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 13:55
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -4.77%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 03:49
Pinnacle🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.97%EV -5.10%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.58%EV -3.69%E -1.49%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -5.63%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 13:50
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -5.43%E -1.88%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 13:59
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -5.43%E -1.88%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -5.43%E -1.88%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 13:34
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:35
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:59
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -2.52%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.41%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 13:29
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.76%EV -7.40%E -2.62%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.45%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 13:44
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.76%EV -7.40%E -2.62%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.45%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 13:44
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -0.569%E -0.223%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 13:55
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -0.569%E -0.223%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -0.569%E -0.223%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 13:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -0.569%E -0.223%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 13:54
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 13:45
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-01 13:45
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.45%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 13:59
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.05%E -2.88%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-01 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 13:44
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 13:57
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -5.63%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 13:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -14.08%E -4.62%K -6.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -14.08%E -4.62%K -6.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -14.08%E -4.62%K -6.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 13:59
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 13:54
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.69%E -3.53%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 13:49
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.12%EV -10.02%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.31%EV -4.86%E -1.99%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.57%EV -4.51%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.42%EV -8.76%E -3.74%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.27%EV -10.42%E -3.28%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 13:59
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.86%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -11.34%E -4.20%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -12.27%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -7.04%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 13:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -12.98%E -4.90%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.27%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -11.27%E -3.58%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 13:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.99%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-08-01 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-08-01 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-08-01 13:55
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-08-01 13:50