La escuela de los momios

Tranmere Rovers v Rochdale

2026-08-01 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tranmere Rovers (Local)

Predicción 32.31%3.10momio equitativo
EV -4.69%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -2.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.18%32.37%32.38%34.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.772.802.9540.00%36.06%35.71%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rochdale (Visitante)

Predicción 40.72%2.46momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -0.951%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.14%40.51%40.79%41.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.272.282.4048.78%44.14%43.86%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.97%3.71momio equitativo
EV -5.59%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -2.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.54%27.12%26.83%29.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.403.453.5032.26%29.39%28.99%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -4.69%E -1.59%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.59%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 21:00
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -4.69%E -1.59%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -4.32%E -1.84%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -16.38%E -5.28%K -7.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 21:05
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -5.66%E -1.94%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -9.63%E -2.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 21:04
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -5.66%E -1.94%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -9.63%E -2.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 21:05
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.59%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 20:29
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.59%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 20:29
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.59%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.59%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 08:45
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.59%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.59%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 08:45
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 21:00
Pinnacle2.89I 34.60%NM 32.44%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.77%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -5.59%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -6.95%E -2.41%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.59%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 21:00
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.95%E -2.41%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 21:00
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.95%E -2.41%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 21:05
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.95%E -2.41%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 21:00
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.95%E -2.41%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 21:08
betano_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.95%E -2.41%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 21:05
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.92%E -2.78%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.39%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 21:09
1xBet2.83I 35.34%NM 32.08%EV -8.56%E -3.03%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.90%EV -9.61%E -4.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.02%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 01:21
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -9.53%E -3.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -2.28%E -0.951%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.59%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 15:50
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.53%E -3.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.59%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 21:04
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.53%E -3.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.59%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 14:04
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.53%E -3.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.43%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 20:29
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.53%E -3.40%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.43%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 20:24
Marathon Bet2.77I 36.10%NM 32.43%EV -10.50%E -3.79%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -10.43%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 26.74%EV -9.36%E -2.79%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 01:19
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -11.15%E -4.05%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -10.43%E -4.74%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 21:05
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -12.76%E -4.73%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.16%EV -12.46%E -5.80%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -16.38%E -5.28%K -7.80%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-25 20:29
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.72%EV -13.73%E -5.14%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.21%EV -13.68%E -6.45%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.08%EV -9.63%E -2.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-25 21:10
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -15.03%E -5.71%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.56%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-15 14:54
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -15.03%E -5.71%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.56%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-15 14:54
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -15.03%E -5.71%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.56%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-15 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -15.03%E -5.71%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.56%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-15 14:54
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -15.03%E -5.71%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.56%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-15 14:54
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -15.03%E -5.71%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.56%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-15 14:54
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -15.03%E -5.71%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.56%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-15 14:54
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -15.03%E -5.71%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.56%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-15 14:54
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -15.03%E -5.71%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.56%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-15 14:55
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -15.03%E -5.71%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.56%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-15 14:54
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -15.03%E -5.71%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.56%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-15 14:54
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -15.03%E -5.71%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.56%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-15 14:54
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -15.03%E -5.71%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.56%EV -7.17%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -6.94%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-16 14:05
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.06%EV -17.61%E -6.91%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -12.46%E -5.80%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -8.29%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-22 15:39
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.46%EV -19.23%E -7.69%K -12.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.80%EV -16.53%E -8.06%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.74%EV -12.33%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%19.5%2026-07-22 15:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%7.5%2026-07-25 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%7.5%2026-07-25 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%7.5%2026-07-25 17:05