Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.69
assuming max odds 3.05
assuming max odds 3.29
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stevenage (Local): 37.10%; Reading (Visit): 33.05%; Draw: 29.85%. For Reading (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.797%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -13.56%E -5.82%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -2.51%E -0.850%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -8.94%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-25 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.82%EV -0.209%E -0.078%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.89%EV -3.17%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -8.05%E -2.61%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.77%EV -6.52%E -2.59%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -3.17%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 09:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.77%EV -6.52%E -2.59%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -3.17%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 09:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.22%EV -1.32%E -0.497%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.87%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -5.15%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -2.97%E -0.914%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.74%EV -5.15%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -2.97%E -0.914%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -2.97%E -0.914%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -2.97%E -0.914%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -2.97%E -0.914%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-25 18:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -15.42%E -6.76%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -11.93%E -4.04%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -15.42%E -6.76%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -11.93%E -4.04%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -15.42%E -6.76%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -11.93%E -4.04%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.55%EV -6.14%E -2.43%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -6.47%E -2.29%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.88%EV -1.78%E -0.540%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 18:37 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -2.97%E -0.914%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-25 09:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-25 15:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.94%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.28%EV -6.52%E -2.59%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.28%EV -6.52%E -2.59%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -12.82%E -5.46%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-25 15:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -13.42%E -4.63%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-25 10:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -13.42%E -4.63%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-25 10:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -13.42%E -4.63%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-25 10:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -13.42%E -4.63%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-25 10:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.79%EV -10.23%E -4.23%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.73%EV -10.11%E -3.72%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.49%EV -12.82%E -4.39%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.42%E -4.63%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -12.82%E -5.46%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-25 15:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -13.08%E -4.97%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.42%E -4.63%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |