Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Stevenage v Reading

Início: 2026-08-25 18:45 UTC

Final: Stevenage 0–3 Reading

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Stevenage (Local)

Previsão 37.10%2.70odd justa
EV -0.209%
Vantagem -0.078%
Kelly -0.124%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.55%37.13%37.12%39.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.282.462.452.6943.86%40.61%40.82%37.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Reading (Visitante)

Previsão 33.05%3.03odd justa
EV +0.797%
Vantagem +0.261%
Kelly +0.389%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.87%32.97%33.12%33.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.632.862.853.0538.02%35.00%35.09%32.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.85%3.35odd justa
EV -1.78%
Vantagem -0.540%
Kelly -0.776%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.69%29.89%29.76%31.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.113.153.2934.48%32.20%31.75%30.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Stevenage (Local): 37.10%; Reading (Visitante): 33.05%; Empate: 29.85%. Para Reading (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.03. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.05, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.797%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 17:55
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 17:54
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 17:49
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 17:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 17:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 17:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 17:49
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV +0.797%E +0.261%K +0.389%G +0.003%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 17:49
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -13.56%E -5.82%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -2.51%E -0.850%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -8.94%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-25 18:30
Pinnacle🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.82%EV -0.209%E -0.078%K -0.124%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.89%EV -3.17%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -8.05%E -2.61%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-25 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.77%EV -6.52%E -2.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -3.17%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 09:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.77%EV -6.52%E -2.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -3.17%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 09:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.22%EV -1.32%E -0.497%K -0.796%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -3.83%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-25 18:19
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.87%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.99%EV -5.15%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -2.97%E -0.914%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.74%EV -5.15%E -1.79%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -2.97%E -0.914%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 18:14
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 18:34
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -2.97%E -0.914%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 18:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -2.97%E -0.914%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 18:14
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -2.97%E -0.914%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 18:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -15.42%E -6.76%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -11.93%E -4.04%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -15.42%E -6.76%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -11.93%E -4.04%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 17:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -15.42%E -6.76%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -5.81%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -11.93%E -4.04%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 17:49
1xBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.55%EV -6.14%E -2.43%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -6.47%E -2.29%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.88%EV -1.78%E -0.540%K -0.776%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 18:35
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 18:38
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 18:37
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -2.97%E -0.914%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 18:39
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 18:35
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.46%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:39
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 09:24
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 18:24
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 18:38
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-25 15:29
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.94%E -2.93%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-25 18:35
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-25 18:39
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.28%EV -6.52%E -2.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 18:39
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.28%EV -6.52%E -2.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.47%EV -10.44%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -12.82%E -5.46%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -5.96%E -1.89%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-25 15:29
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -13.42%E -4.63%K -7.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-25 10:34
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -13.42%E -4.63%K -7.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-25 10:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -13.42%E -4.63%K -7.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-25 10:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -13.42%E -4.63%K -7.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-25 10:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.79%EV -10.23%E -4.23%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.73%EV -10.11%E -3.72%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.49%EV -12.82%E -4.39%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-25 18:38
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.42%E -4.63%K -7.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-25 18:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -12.82%E -5.46%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -7.45%E -2.40%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-25 15:29
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -13.08%E -4.97%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.42%E -4.63%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 18:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-08-25 18:39
Matchbook◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.94%1.0%2026-08-25 18:39