The School of Odds

Sheffield Wednesday v Bolton Wanderers

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

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Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Prediction 25.84%3.87fair odd
EV -0.243%
Edge -0.063%
Kelly -0.085%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.20%25.94%26.12%29.55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.373.483.8633%30%29%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Bolton Wanderers (Visit)

Prediction 48.45%2.06fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.75%48.29%48.15%50.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.811.931.952.0055%52%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.71%3.89fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -0.961%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.64%25.77%25.73%27.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.583.633.7531%28%28%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle3.86I 25.91%NM 24.21%EV -0.243%E -0.063%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.25%EV -9.88%E -5.31%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.54%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 19:20
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -1.79%E -0.472%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -11.34%E -6.19%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 15:55
Marathon Bet3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -5.40%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 09:09
1xBet3.71I 26.95%NM 25.25%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.30%EV -7.94%E -4.18%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 09:15
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -12.60%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 19:20
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 19:19
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 02:39
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 09:15
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -15.17%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 19:20
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -15.17%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 19:50
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -15.17%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 19:50
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -11.34%E -6.19%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-23 14:35
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -11.34%E -6.19%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-22 16:59
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -11.34%E -6.19%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-22 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 21:55
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.60%E -0.961%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 14:30
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 14:30
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 14:30
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-21 14:29
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-21 14:30
betano_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -7.94%E -4.18%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 09:04
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -7.94%E -4.18%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 09:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 21:55
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -4.07%E -2.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 19:20
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 09:05
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -9.40%E -5.03%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-21 19:20
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.25%EV -12.30%E -6.80%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -12.60%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-25 09:05
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.76%EV -18.59%E -5.90%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.52%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -12.60%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-22 15:39
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -4.55%E -2.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -4.55%E -2.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -4.55%E -2.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:20
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:50
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:20
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:20
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:20
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:20
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:50
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:50
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:20
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:20
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -22.47%E -7.49%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 46.15%EV -11.82%E -6.49%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.85%EV -16.46%E -5.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-22 15:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%7.5%2026-07-25 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%7.5%2026-07-25 10:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%7.5%2026-07-25 15:00