The School of Odds

Sheffield Wednesday v Bolton Wanderers

2026-08-08 16:00 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Odds
2.7536.36%Min
2.7835.92%Mean
2.7536.36%Median
2.9034.48%Max
Consensus probabilities
31.91%3.133Min
33.14%3.017Max
32.32%3.094Mean
32.31%3.095Median
32.31%3.095IQM
32.38%3.089Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.90 under the IQM model: 32.31%

EV -6.29%Edge -2.17%Kelly -3.31%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Bolton Wanderers (Visit)

Odds
2.1047.62%Min
2.1945.64%Mean
2.1746.08%Median
2.3542.55%Max
Consensus probabilities
40.29%2.482Min
42.55%2.350Max
41.54%2.407Mean
41.51%2.409Median
41.51%2.409IQM
41.42%2.414Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.35 under the IQM model: 41.51%

EV -2.45%Edge -1.04%Kelly -1.82%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.4029.41%Min
3.4828.76%Mean
3.4528.99%Median
3.6427.47%Max
Consensus probabilities
25.53%3.917Min
27.05%3.696Max
26.14%3.826Mean
26.18%3.820Median
26.18%3.820IQM
26.21%3.816Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.64 under the IQM model: 26.18%

EV -4.71%Edge -1.29%Kelly -1.78%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSheffield Wednesday (Local) ▼Bolton Wanderers (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.95I 33.90% NM 32.52%EV -4.68% E -1.59% K -2.40% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.83%EV -2.45% E -1.04% K -1.82% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.65%EV -5.76% E -1.60% K -2.21% G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 11:49
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48% NM 32.65%EV -6.29% E -2.17% K -3.31% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.29%EV -2.45% E -1.04% K -1.82% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.05%EV -8.37% E -2.39% K -3.35% G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 02:59
1xBet2.89I 34.60% NM 32.60%EV -6.62% E -2.29% K -3.50% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 41.51%EV -5.77% E -2.54% K -4.55% G +0.000%3.64I 27.47% NM 25.89%EV -4.71% E -1.29% K -1.78% G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 13:09
FanDuel2.85I 35.09% NM 32.75%EV -7.91% E -2.78% K -4.28% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.58%EV -4.53% E -1.97% K -3.48% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.67%EV -8.37% E -2.39% K -3.35% G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 14:39
SportsBet2.80I 35.71% NM 33.14%EV -9.53% E -3.40% K -5.29% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.35%EV -4.53% E -1.97% K -3.48% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.51%EV -8.37% E -2.39% K -3.35% G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 11:49
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71% NM 33.14%EV -9.53% E -3.40% K -5.29% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.35%EV -4.53% E -1.97% K -3.48% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.51%EV -8.37% E -2.39% K -3.35% G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 11:48
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71% NM 33.14%EV -9.53% E -3.40% K -5.29% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.35%EV -4.53% E -1.97% K -3.48% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.51%EV -8.37% E -2.39% K -3.35% G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-26 14:29
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71% NM 32.66%EV -9.53% E -3.40% K -5.29% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.57%EV -8.68% E -3.95% K -7.23% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.76%EV -7.07% E -1.99% K -2.77% G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-02 10:20
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71% NM 31.99%EV -9.53% E -3.40% K -5.29% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 41.66%EV -10.76% E -5.00% K -9.35% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.35%EV -10.99% E -3.23% K -4.58% G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 15:10
William Hill2.80I 35.71% NM 31.91%EV -9.53% E -3.40% K -5.29% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 42.55%EV -12.83% E -6.11% K -11.66% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.53%EV -8.37% E -2.39% K -3.35% G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-30 14:00
888sport2.80I 35.71% NM 31.91%EV -9.53% E -3.40% K -5.29% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 42.55%EV -12.83% E -6.11% K -11.66% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.53%EV -8.37% E -2.39% K -3.35% G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71% NM 31.91%EV -9.53% E -3.40% K -5.29% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 42.55%EV -12.83% E -6.11% K -11.66% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.53%EV -8.37% E -2.39% K -3.35% G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71% NM 31.91%EV -9.53% E -3.40% K -5.29% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 42.55%EV -12.83% E -6.11% K -11.66% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.53%EV -8.37% E -2.39% K -3.35% G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-30 14:19
BetRivers2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02% NM 32.17%EV -15.02% E -5.71% K -9.21% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 38.46%EV -8.68% E -3.95% K -7.23% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 29.38%EV -24.61% E -8.54% K -13.09% G +0.000%18.2%2026-06-26 11:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerSheffield Wednesday (Local)Bolton Wanderers (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39