L’École des cotes

Sheffield Wednesday v Bolton Wanderers

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Prévision 25.84%3.87cote équitable
EV -0.243%
Avantage -0.063%
Kelly -0.085%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.20%25.94%26.12%29.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.373.483.8633.33%29.63%28.78%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bolton Wanderers (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.45%2.06cote équitable
EV -3.10%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -3.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.75%48.29%48.15%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.931.952.0055.25%51.84%51.28%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.71%3.89cote équitable
EV -3.60%
Avantage -0.961%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.64%25.77%25.73%27.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.583.633.7530.77%27.97%27.59%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.86I 25.91%NM 24.21%EV -0.243%E -0.063%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.25%EV -9.88%E -5.31%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.54%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 19:20
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -1.79%E -0.472%K -0.641%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -11.34%E -6.19%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 15:55
Marathon Bet3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -5.40%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 09:09
1xBet3.71I 26.95%NM 25.25%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.30%EV -7.94%E -4.18%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 09:15
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -12.60%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 19:20
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 19:19
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 02:39
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 09:15
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -15.17%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 19:20
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -15.17%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 19:50
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -15.17%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 19:50
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -11.34%E -6.19%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-23 14:35
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -11.34%E -6.19%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-22 16:59
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -11.34%E -6.19%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-22 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 21:55
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.60%E -0.961%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 14:30
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 14:30
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 14:30
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-21 14:29
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.46%E -3.91%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -4.89%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-21 14:30
betano_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -7.94%E -4.18%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 09:04
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -7.94%E -4.18%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 09:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -3.10%E -1.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 21:55
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -4.07%E -2.05%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 19:20
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.52%E -2.83%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 09:05
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -9.40%E -5.03%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-21 19:20
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -13.42%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.25%EV -12.30%E -6.80%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.68%EV -12.60%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-25 09:05
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.76%EV -18.59%E -5.90%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.52%EV -8.91%E -4.74%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -12.60%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-22 15:39
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -4.55%E -2.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -4.55%E -2.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -4.55%E -2.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:20
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:20
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:50
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:20
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:20
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:20
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:20
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:50
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:50
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:20
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -21.18%E -6.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:20
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -22.47%E -7.49%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 46.15%EV -11.82%E -6.49%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.85%EV -16.46%E -5.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-22 15:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%7.5%2026-07-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%7.5%2026-07-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%7.5%2026-07-26 07:55