Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sheffield Wednesday v Bolton Wanderers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Score final : Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 Bolton Wanderers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Prévision 29.39%3.40cote équitable
EV -3.00%
Avantage -0.909%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.46%29.42%29.42%31.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.943.133.103.3034.01%31.99%32.26%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Bolton Wanderers (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.36%2.25cote équitable
EV -3.75%
Avantage -1.73%
Kelly -3.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.80%44.32%44.35%45.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.992.092.102.1750.25%47.83%47.62%46.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.25%3.81cote équitable
EV +0.014%
Avantage +0.004%
Kelly +0.005%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.51%26.27%26.23%27.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.473.453.8130.77%28.81%28.99%26.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sheffield Wednesday (Local) : 29.39% ; Bolton Wanderers (Visiteur) : 44.36% ; Match nul : 26.25%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.809. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.810, soit une espérance positive de +0.014%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.02%EV -11.52%E -3.83%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.51%EV +0.014%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:53
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -1.56%E -0.416%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-06 06:54
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -7.74%E -3.72%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -1.56%E -0.416%K -0.568%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 06:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -2.87%E -0.777%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -10.35%E -3.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -11.29%E -5.64%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -4.19%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:25
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.00%E -0.909%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 13:34
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.00%E -0.909%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 13:34
betano_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.47%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 13:54
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.47%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 13:55
theScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.41%E -2.35%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:24
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -4.47%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -9.07%E -4.43%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 15:45
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -11.29%E -5.64%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.50%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:54
Pinnacle🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.49%EV -5.06%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.90%EV -3.75%E -1.73%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.61%EV -6.02%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 13:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -11.29%E -5.64%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -6.81%E -1.92%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 13:24
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -6.53%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.19%EV -6.41%E -3.04%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.60%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:34
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.00%E -0.909%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.00%E -0.909%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:34
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.00%E -0.909%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.00%E -0.909%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:35
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:34
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.07%E -4.43%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 13:35
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -4.47%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -9.44%E -2.74%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 30.87%EV -13.58%E -4.62%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -5.97%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -9.44%E -2.74%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 30.87%EV -13.58%E -4.62%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -5.97%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -9.44%E -2.74%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.94%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:55
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.97%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:34
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.97%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:34
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.97%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.97%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.97%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:34
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.97%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:34
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.97%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.97%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:34
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.97%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:35
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.97%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:35
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -5.97%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:34
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:44
NetBet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.47%EV -11.73%E -5.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.03%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 13:40
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.37%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.37%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.37%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:34
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.37%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.07%E -4.43%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.37%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 13:44
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.07%E -4.43%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.37%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.07%E -4.43%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.37%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.82%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.07%E -4.43%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.37%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 13:34
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -8.88%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.07%E -4.43%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.69%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 13:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55