Language:English
Peterborough United v Barnsley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Peterborough United (Local)
Prediction 39.43%2.54fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.893%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.35%39.61%39.37%42.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.162.332.302.4846.30%42.93%43.48%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barnsley (Visit)
Prediction 35.61%2.81fair odd
EV +6.84%
Edge +2.28%
Kelly +3.42%
Growth +0.234%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.58%35.41%35.66%38.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.642.653.0041.67%37.90%37.74%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.96%4.01fair odd
EV +0.583%
Edge +0.145%
Kelly +0.193%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.52%24.98%24.97%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.733.754.0328.57%26.84%26.67%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peterborough United (Local): 39.43%; Barnsley (Visit): 35.61%; Draw: 24.96%. For Barnsley (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -11.28%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV +6.84%E +2.28%K +3.42%G +0.234% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 07:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:26 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.29%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.14%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.33%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-15 18:26 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.03%EV -4.58%E -1.89%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.73%EV -3.14%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.03%EV -4.58%E -1.89%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.73%EV -3.14%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.32%EV -4.19%E -1.72%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.26%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.41%EV -6.16%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.18%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.11%EV -0.165%E -0.041%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.98%EV -6.55%E -2.76%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.93%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-15 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 18:11 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -2.66%E -0.682%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-15 18:23 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 18:11 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -2.22%E -0.893%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -2.22%E -0.893%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.50%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.19%EV -6.70%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -2.66%E -0.682%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.55%EV -6.55%E -2.76%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.78%EV -6.70%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -6.70%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 18:06 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 18:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-15 18:06 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-15 18:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-15 18:06 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.00%EV -14.83%E -6.87%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 39.64%EV -10.50%E -4.62%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.01%EV -8.48%E -3.30%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -2.66%E -0.682%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-15 18:23 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.35%EV -2.22%E -0.893%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.60%EV +0.583%E +0.145%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -11.28%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.23%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-15 18:06 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -11.28%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-15 18:06 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 18:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-15 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.64%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%EV -11.28%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.34% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98% | 0.1% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91% | 0.3% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91% | 0.3% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91% | 0.3% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |