Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Peterborough United v Barnsley

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-15 18:30 UTC

Score final : Peterborough United 3–3 Barnsley

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Peterborough United (Local)

Prévision 39.43%2.54cote équitable
EV -2.22%
Avantage -0.893%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.35%39.61%39.37%42.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.162.332.302.4846.30%42.93%43.48%40.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Barnsley (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.61%2.81cote équitable
EV +6.84%
Avantage +2.28%
Kelly +3.42%
Croissance +0.234%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.58%35.41%35.66%38.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.642.653.0041.67%37.90%37.74%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.96%4.01cote équitable
EV +0.583%
Avantage +0.145%
Kelly +0.193%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.52%24.98%24.97%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.733.754.0328.57%26.84%26.67%24.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Peterborough United (Local) : 39.43% ; Barnsley (Visiteur) : 35.61% ; Match nul : 24.96%. Pour Barnsley (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.81. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.00, soit une espérance positive de +6.84%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -11.28%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV +6.84%E +2.28%K +3.42%G +0.234%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 07:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:25
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:25
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:25
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:26
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:25
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.29%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.14%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.33%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 18:26
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.03%EV -4.58%E -1.89%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.73%EV -3.14%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 18:25
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.03%EV -4.58%E -1.89%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.73%EV -3.14%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.32%EV -4.19%E -1.72%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.26%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.41%EV -6.16%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 18:05
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.18%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.11%EV -0.165%E -0.041%K -0.055%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 18:05
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.98%EV -6.55%E -2.76%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.93%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 17:35
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 18:11
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -2.66%E -0.682%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 18:05
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 17:55
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 18:23
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 18:11
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -2.22%E -0.893%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -2.22%E -0.893%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 18:05
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.50%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.19%EV -6.70%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -2.66%E -0.682%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.55%EV -6.55%E -2.76%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.78%EV -6.70%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 17:55
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -6.70%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:06
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 18:11
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:06
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 18:09
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 18:06
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.00%EV -14.83%E -6.87%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-15 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.64%EV -10.50%E -4.62%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.01%EV -8.48%E -3.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 18:25
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -2.66%E -0.682%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 18:23
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 18:10
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.35%EV -2.22%E -0.893%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.60%EV +0.583%E +0.145%K +0.193%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-15 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -11.28%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.23%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-15 18:06
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -11.28%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-15 18:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:15
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:10
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:20
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.64%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 18:05
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%EV -11.28%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-15 18:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.34%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%0.1%2026-09-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.3%2026-09-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.3%2026-09-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.3%2026-09-15 18:25