默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Peterborough United v Barnsley

开赛时间: 2026-09-15 18:30 UTC

最终结果: Peterborough United 3–3 Barnsley

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

50 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Peterborough United (主队)

预测 39.43%2.54公平赔率
EV -2.22%
优势 -0.893%
Kelly -1.50%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.48

博彩公司预测分布
38.35%39.61%39.37%42.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.162.332.302.4846.30%42.93%43.48%40.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

Barnsley (客队)

预测 35.61%2.81公平赔率
EV +6.84%
优势 +2.28%
Kelly +3.42%
增长率 +0.234%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
31.58%35.41%35.66%38.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.642.653.0041.67%37.90%37.74%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.96%4.01公平赔率
EV +0.583%
优势 +0.145%
Kelly +0.193%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 4.03

博彩公司预测分布
23.52%24.98%24.97%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.733.754.0328.57%26.84%26.67%24.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Peterborough United (主队):39.43%;Barnsley (客队):35.61%;平局:24.96%。 对于“Barnsley (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.81。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.00,对应+6.84%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -11.28%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV +6.84%E +2.28%K +3.42%G +0.234%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 07:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:25
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:25
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:25
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:26
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -10.10%E -4.43%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -2.07%E -0.752%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:25
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.29%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -3.14%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.33%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 18:26
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.03%EV -4.58%E -1.89%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.73%EV -3.14%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 18:25
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.03%EV -4.58%E -1.89%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.73%EV -3.14%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.32%EV -4.19%E -1.72%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.26%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.41%EV -6.16%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 18:05
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.18%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.11%EV -0.165%E -0.041%K -0.055%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 18:05
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.98%EV -6.55%E -2.76%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.93%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 17:35
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 18:11
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -2.66%E -0.682%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 18:05
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 17:55
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 18:23
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 18:11
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -13.26%E -6.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -5.63%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -2.22%E -0.893%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -2.22%E -0.893%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 18:05
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.50%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.19%EV -6.70%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -2.66%E -0.682%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.55%EV -6.55%E -2.76%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.78%EV -6.70%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 17:55
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -6.70%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 18:06
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.37%E -2.24%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 18:11
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -6.16%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 18:06
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-15 18:09
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 18:06
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.00%EV -14.83%E -6.87%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.06%EV -7.41%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-15 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 39.64%EV -10.50%E -4.62%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.01%EV -8.48%E -3.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-15 18:25
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -2.66%E -0.682%K -0.918%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 18:23
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 18:10
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.35%EV -2.22%E -0.893%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.60%EV +0.583%E +0.145%K +0.193%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-15 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -11.28%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.23%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -3.91%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-15 18:06
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -11.28%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-15 18:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:15
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:10
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-15 18:20
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.64%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 18:05
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%EV -11.28%E -5.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-15 18:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.34%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%0.1%2026-09-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.3%2026-09-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.3%2026-09-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.3%2026-09-15 18:25