Language:English
Norwich City v Milton Keynes Dons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Norwich City (Local)
Prediction 61.87%1.62fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -7.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%61.65%61.94%62.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.501.501.5569.93%66.75%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)
Prediction 16.51%6.06fair odd
EV -0.948%
Edge -0.158%
Kelly -0.190%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.69%16.62%16.48%18.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.955.535.656.0020.20%18.08%17.70%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.62%4.63fair odd
EV -4.87%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.75%21.73%21.58%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.184.104.4026.67%23.95%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Norwich City (Local): 61.87%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visit): 16.51%; Draw: 21.62%. For Milton Keynes Dons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.00, with an expected value of -0.948%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.33%EV -4.10%E -2.65%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 17.61%EV -12.34%E -2.32%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.06%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.96%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.34%EV -4.25%E -0.733%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.69%EV -5.52%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -6.38%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -6.38%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 13:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -6.38%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 13:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -9.20%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -8.11%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.97%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -14.15%E -2.72%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 13:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.44%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.37%EV -18.28%E -3.69%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.44%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.37%EV -18.28%E -3.69%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -17.46%E -3.49%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.52%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -17.46%E -3.49%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.52%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -17.46%E -3.49%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.52%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.97%EV -5.96%E -3.92%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -5.95%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -5.96%E -3.92%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -7.55%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -8.11%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -5.96%E -3.92%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -7.55%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -8.11%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.89%EV -5.96%E -3.92%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -2.60%E -0.440%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -14.60%E -3.70%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 12:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.89%EV -5.96%E -3.92%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -2.60%E -0.440%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -14.60%E -3.70%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 12:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.948%E -0.158%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.948%E -0.158%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.948%E -0.158%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.948%E -0.158%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 13:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -5.90%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -9.20%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.38%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -9.20%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.38%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.56%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -4.25%E -0.733%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -9.20%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.76%E -4.35%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 12:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -17.46%E -3.49%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -18.92%E -5.05%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.55%EV -7.81%E -5.24%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.93%EV -3.42%E -0.585%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -6.38%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -8.43%E -5.70%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -4.25%E -0.733%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.69%EV -8.43%E -5.70%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -14.15%E -2.72%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 12:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -9.05%E -6.16%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -9.20%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.75%EV -9.05%E -6.16%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -13.33%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -6.38%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.51%EV -9.67%E -6.62%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -15.81%E -3.10%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.88%EV -7.03%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 12:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.14%EV -10.29%E -7.09%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.42%EV -10.85%E -2.01%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -14.60%E -3.70%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.91%E -7.57%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -7.55%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -14.60%E -3.70%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.91%E -7.57%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -17.46%E -3.49%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.19%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.91%E -7.57%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -17.46%E -3.49%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.19%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.30%EV -10.91%E -7.57%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -10.85%E -2.01%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -14.60%E -3.70%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.91%E -7.57%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -17.46%E -3.49%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -13.52%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.58%EV -11.52%E -8.06%K -26.80%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.94%EV -14.15%E -2.72%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
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