The School of Odds

Norwich City v Milton Keynes Dons

2026-08-08 16:00 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Norwich City (Local)

1.4071.43%Min
1.4668.61%Mean
1.4568.97%Median
1.5066.67%Max
59.70%1.675Min
64.88%1.541Max
62.15%1.609Mean
62.00%1.613Median
62.00%1.613IQM
62.36%1.604Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.50 under the IQM model: 62.00%

EV -7.00%Edge -4.67%Kelly -14.00%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)

5.0020.00%Min
5.7317.46%Mean
5.6017.86%Median
6.7514.81%Max
13.99%7.149Min
17.91%5.583Max
15.98%6.258Mean
15.92%6.283Median
15.92%6.283IQM
15.84%6.313Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 6.75 under the IQM model: 15.92%

EV +7.44%Edge +1.10%Kelly +1.29%Growth +0.096%

Option 3: Draw

4.0025.00%Min
4.0924.48%Mean
4.0025.00%Median
4.4022.73%Max
20.94%4.776Min
22.45%4.454Max
21.87%4.572Mean
22.08%4.528Median
22.08%4.528IQM
21.80%4.587Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.40 under the IQM model: 22.08%

EV -2.83%Edge -0.642%Kelly -0.831%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerNorwich City (Local)Milton Keynes Dons (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.50I 66.67% NM 64.30%EV -7.00% E -4.67% K -14.00% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.78%EV +11.42% E +1.63% K +1.90% G +0.217%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.92%EV -2.83% E -0.642% K -0.831% G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-26 11:49
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57% NM 63.80%EV -8.24% E -5.57% K -17.17% G +0.000%6.75I 14.81% NM 13.99%EV +7.44% E +1.10% K +1.29% G +0.096%4.25I 23.53% NM 22.22%EV -6.14% E -1.44% K -1.89% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 02:59
SportsBet1.44I 69.44% NM 64.35%EV -10.72% E -7.45% K -24.37% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.26%EV +3.46% E +0.532% K +0.629% G +0.022%4.33I 23.09% NM 21.40%EV -4.37% E -1.01% K -1.31% G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-26 11:49
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44% NM 64.35%EV -10.72% E -7.45% K -24.37% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.26%EV +3.46% E +0.532% K +0.629% G +0.022%4.33I 23.09% NM 21.40%EV -4.37% E -1.01% K -1.31% G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-26 11:48
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44% NM 64.35%EV -10.72% E -7.45% K -24.37% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.26%EV +3.46% E +0.532% K +0.629% G +0.022%4.33I 23.09% NM 21.40%EV -4.37% E -1.01% K -1.31% G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-26 14:29
FanDuel1.42I 70.42% NM 64.88%EV -11.96% E -8.42% K -28.48% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.17%EV +3.46% E +0.532% K +0.629% G +0.022%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.94%EV -2.83% E -0.642% K -0.831% G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 14:39
1xBet1.47I 68.03% NM 63.72%EV -8.86% E -6.03% K -18.86% G +0.000%6.46I 15.48% NM 14.50%EV +2.82% E +0.437% K +0.517% G +0.015%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.78%EV -5.03% E -1.17% K -1.53% G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 18:39
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03% NM 62.19%EV -8.86% E -6.03% K -18.86% G +0.000%5.70I 17.54% NM 16.04%EV -9.28% E -1.63% K -1.97% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.77%EV -7.24% E -1.72% K -2.26% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-02 10:20
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49% NM 61.51%EV -9.48% E -6.49% K -20.61% G +0.000%5.60I 17.86% NM 16.04%EV -10.87% E -1.94% K -2.36% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.45%EV -11.66% E -2.92% K -3.89% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49% NM 61.51%EV -9.48% E -6.49% K -20.61% G +0.000%5.60I 17.86% NM 16.04%EV -10.87% E -1.94% K -2.36% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.45%EV -11.66% E -2.92% K -3.89% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Unibet1.46I 68.49% NM 61.51%EV -9.48% E -6.49% K -20.61% G +0.000%5.60I 17.86% NM 16.04%EV -10.87% E -1.94% K -2.36% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.45%EV -11.66% E -2.92% K -3.89% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:39
BetRivers1.45I 68.97% NM 61.67%EV -10.10% E -6.97% K -22.45% G +0.000%5.60I 17.86% NM 15.97%EV -10.87% E -1.94% K -2.36% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.36%EV -11.66% E -2.92% K -3.89% G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.45I 68.97% NM 61.67%EV -10.10% E -6.97% K -22.45% G +0.000%5.60I 17.86% NM 15.97%EV -10.87% E -1.94% K -2.36% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.36%EV -11.66% E -2.92% K -3.89% G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97% NM 61.67%EV -10.10% E -6.97% K -22.45% G +0.000%5.60I 17.86% NM 15.97%EV -10.87% E -1.94% K -2.36% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.36%EV -11.66% E -2.92% K -3.89% G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97% NM 61.67%EV -10.10% E -6.97% K -22.45% G +0.000%5.60I 17.86% NM 15.97%EV -10.87% E -1.94% K -2.36% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.36%EV -11.66% E -2.92% K -3.89% G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97% NM 61.67%EV -10.10% E -6.97% K -22.45% G +0.000%5.60I 17.86% NM 15.97%EV -10.87% E -1.94% K -2.36% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.36%EV -11.66% E -2.92% K -3.89% G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97% NM 61.67%EV -10.10% E -6.97% K -22.45% G +0.000%5.60I 17.86% NM 15.97%EV -10.87% E -1.94% K -2.36% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.36%EV -11.66% E -2.92% K -3.89% G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.45I 68.97% NM 61.67%EV -10.10% E -6.97% K -22.45% G +0.000%5.60I 17.86% NM 15.97%EV -10.87% E -1.94% K -2.36% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.36%EV -11.66% E -2.92% K -3.89% G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97% NM 61.67%EV -10.10% E -6.97% K -22.45% G +0.000%5.60I 17.86% NM 15.97%EV -10.87% E -1.94% K -2.36% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.36%EV -11.66% E -2.92% K -3.89% G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97% NM 61.67%EV -10.10% E -6.97% K -22.45% G +0.000%5.60I 17.86% NM 15.97%EV -10.87% E -1.94% K -2.36% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.36%EV -11.66% E -2.92% K -3.89% G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.45I 68.97% NM 61.67%EV -10.10% E -6.97% K -22.45% G +0.000%5.60I 17.86% NM 15.97%EV -10.87% E -1.94% K -2.36% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.36%EV -11.66% E -2.92% K -3.89% G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 08:39
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43% NM 62.32%EV -13.20% E -9.43% K -33.01% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 15.86%EV -12.46% E -2.27% K -2.77% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 21.81%EV -11.66% E -2.92% K -3.89% G +0.000%14.6%2026-06-27 15:10
William Hill1.50I 66.67% NM 59.70%EV -7.00% E -4.67% K -14.00% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.91%EV -20.42% E -4.08% K -5.10% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.39%EV -11.66% E -2.92% K -3.89% G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 14:00
888sport1.50I 66.67% NM 59.70%EV -7.00% E -4.67% K -14.00% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.91%EV -20.42% E -4.08% K -5.10% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.39%EV -11.66% E -2.92% K -3.89% G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67% NM 59.70%EV -7.00% E -4.67% K -14.00% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.91%EV -20.42% E -4.08% K -5.10% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.39%EV -11.66% E -2.92% K -3.89% G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67% NM 59.70%EV -7.00% E -4.67% K -14.00% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.91%EV -20.42% E -4.08% K -5.10% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.39%EV -11.66% E -2.92% K -3.89% G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 14:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerNorwich City (Local)Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39