Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Norwich City v Milton Keynes Dons

Início: 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Final: Norwich City 4–1 Milton Keynes Dons

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Norwich City (Local)

Previsão 61.87%1.62odd justa
EV -4.10%
Vantagem -2.65%
Kelly -7.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.82%61.65%61.94%62.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.431.501.501.5569.93%66.75%66.67%64.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante)

Previsão 16.51%6.06odd justa
EV -0.948%
Vantagem -0.158%
Kelly -0.190%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.69%16.62%16.48%18.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.955.535.656.0020.20%18.08%17.70%16.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.62%4.63odd justa
EV -4.87%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -1.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.75%21.73%21.58%23.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.184.104.4026.67%23.95%24.39%22.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Norwich City (Local): 61.87%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante): 16.51%; Empate: 21.62%. Para Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.06. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 6.00, com valor esperado de -0.948%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.33%EV -4.10%E -2.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.61%EV -12.34%E -2.32%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.06%EV -8.33%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:58
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.96%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.34%EV -4.25%E -0.733%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.69%EV -5.52%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 13:59
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -6.38%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -6.38%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:14
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -6.38%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:15
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -9.20%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -8.11%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:59
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.97%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -14.15%E -2.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:58
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.44%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.37%EV -18.28%E -3.69%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.44%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.37%EV -18.28%E -3.69%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 13:59
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -17.46%E -3.49%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.52%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -17.46%E -3.49%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.52%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.34%E -3.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -17.46%E -3.49%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.52%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.97%EV -5.96%E -3.92%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -5.95%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -5.96%E -3.92%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -7.55%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -8.11%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:14
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -5.96%E -3.92%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -7.55%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -8.11%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:15
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.89%EV -5.96%E -3.92%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -2.60%E -0.440%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -14.60%E -3.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 12:49
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.89%EV -5.96%E -3.92%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -2.60%E -0.440%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -14.60%E -3.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 12:50
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.948%E -0.158%K -0.190%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 13:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.948%E -0.158%K -0.190%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 13:24
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.948%E -0.158%K -0.190%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 13:45
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -0.948%E -0.158%K -0.190%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 13:48
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.34%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV -5.90%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -9.20%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.38%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:09
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -9.20%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.38%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.56%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -4.25%E -0.733%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:29
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:55
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:55
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:55
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -5.08%E -0.883%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:54
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -9.20%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.76%E -4.35%K -5.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 12:50
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -7.19%E -4.80%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -17.46%E -3.49%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -18.92%E -5.05%K -6.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.55%EV -7.81%E -5.24%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.93%EV -3.42%E -0.585%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -6.38%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:54
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -8.43%E -5.70%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -4.25%E -0.733%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.69%EV -8.43%E -5.70%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -14.15%E -2.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 12:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -9.05%E -6.16%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -9.20%E -1.67%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -4.87%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:59
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.75%EV -9.05%E -6.16%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -13.33%E -2.54%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -6.38%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.51%EV -9.67%E -6.62%K -21.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -15.81%E -3.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.88%EV -7.03%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 12:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.14%EV -10.29%E -7.09%K -22.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.42%EV -10.85%E -2.01%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -14.60%E -3.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.91%E -7.57%K -24.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -7.55%E -1.35%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -14.60%E -3.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 13:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.91%E -7.57%K -24.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -17.46%E -3.49%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.19%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 13:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.91%E -7.57%K -24.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -17.46%E -3.49%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.19%E -2.19%K -2.87%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 13:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.30%EV -10.91%E -7.57%K -24.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -10.85%E -2.01%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -14.60%E -3.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 13:55
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.91%E -7.57%K -24.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -17.46%E -3.49%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -13.52%E -3.38%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-08 13:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.58%EV -11.52%E -8.06%K -26.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.94%EV -14.15%E -2.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -11.36%E -2.77%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-08 13:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-08-08 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-08-08 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-08-08 13:45