La escuela de los momios

Norwich City v Milton Keynes Dons

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Norwich City (Local)

Predicción 59.95%1.67momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -2.16%
Kelly -5.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.23%60.00%59.59%61.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.511.521.6168.97%66.16%66.01%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante)

Predicción 17.93%5.58momio equitativo
EV +0.389%
Ventaja +0.069%
Kelly +0.085%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.97%17.95%18.03%20.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.205.195.215.6023.81%19.26%19.19%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.13%4.52momio equitativo
EV -0.432%
Ventaja -0.096%
Kelly -0.123%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.62%22.04%22.38%23.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.084.004.5027.03%24.49%25.00%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.51%EV -12.48%E -8.55%K -27.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.04%EV +0.389%E +0.069%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.51%EV -12.48%E -8.55%K -27.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.04%EV +0.389%E +0.069%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 61.51%EV -12.48%E -8.55%K -27.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.04%EV +0.389%E +0.069%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:39
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -13.08%E -9.02%K -29.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV +0.389%E +0.069%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -13.08%E -9.02%K -29.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV +0.389%E +0.069%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -13.08%E -9.02%K -29.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV +0.389%E +0.069%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -13.08%E -9.02%K -29.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV +0.389%E +0.069%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -13.08%E -9.02%K -29.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV +0.389%E +0.069%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -13.08%E -9.02%K -29.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV +0.389%E +0.069%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -13.08%E -9.02%K -29.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV +0.389%E +0.069%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -13.08%E -9.02%K -29.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV +0.389%E +0.069%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -13.08%E -9.02%K -29.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV +0.389%E +0.069%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -13.08%E -9.02%K -29.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV +0.389%E +0.069%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -13.08%E -9.02%K -29.06%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV +0.389%E +0.069%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-16 14:05
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -9.48%E -6.28%K -18.59%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV -0.507%E -0.091%K -0.111%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -3.75%E -0.862%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 06:39
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -1.40%E -0.255%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 18:30
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.22%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.25%EV -2.66%E -0.490%K -0.600%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -3.75%E -0.862%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 06:50
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -7.68%E -4.99%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -3.20%E -0.592%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -5.96%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 18:25
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -4.99%E -0.941%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 18:30
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.28%E -3.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.89%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 18:30
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -5.89%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 18:24
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -5.89%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 18:23
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 61.28%EV -8.88%E -5.84%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.02%EV -7.32%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -0.432%E -0.096%K -0.123%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 18:20
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -3.49%E -2.16%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -10.37%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 19:19
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -3.49%E -2.16%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -10.37%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.08%E -2.55%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.37%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 13:34
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.08%E -2.55%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.37%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.08%E -2.55%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.37%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 13:34
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.88%E -3.75%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.37%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 18:25
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.08%E -4.57%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.37%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.28%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 18:24
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.37%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 18:30
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.37%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 18:25
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.08%E -4.57%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.37%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 09:05
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.37%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 06:45
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.37%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 06:44
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.28%E -5.41%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.37%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 06:44
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -10.37%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.92%E -4.19%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-19 22:10
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -7.68%E -4.99%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.16%E -2.48%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.07%E -1.68%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 20:06
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.51%EV -11.88%E -8.08%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.61%EV -15.74%E -3.35%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 18:25
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 57.83%EV -6.48%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -17.54%E -3.81%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 18:25
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 57.83%EV -6.48%E -4.16%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -17.54%E -3.81%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.49%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 18:20
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -19.33%E -4.30%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -4.19%E -0.968%K -1.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -10.08%E -6.72%K -20.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -19.33%E -4.30%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -13.71%E -3.51%K -4.73%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-25 09:05
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 57.23%EV -11.88%E -8.08%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.03%EV -24.71%E -5.88%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.74%EV -18.13%E -4.90%K -6.72%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-25 09:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.26%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%6.7%2026-07-26 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.26%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%6.7%2026-07-25 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.26%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%6.7%2026-07-26 02:00