Language:English
Middlesbrough v Wrexham AFC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Middlesbrough (Local)
Prediction 54.76%1.83fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -5.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.15%54.82%54.84%55.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.701.7561.73%59.26%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wrexham AFC (Visit)
Prediction 20.84%4.80fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.216%
Kelly -0.273%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.89%20.84%20.85%22.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.404.354.7525.00%22.71%22.99%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.40%4.10fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -0.596%
Kelly -0.795%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.53%24.34%24.31%25.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.803.824.0028.57%26.30%26.18%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Middlesbrough (Local): 54.76%; Wrexham AFC (Visit): 20.84%; Draw: 24.40%. For Wrexham AFC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.75, with an expected value of -1.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.50%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -4.15%E -0.902%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -6.05%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.50%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -4.15%E -0.902%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -6.05%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.53%EV -4.72%E -2.71%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.63%EV -4.15%E -0.902%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.84%EV -6.78%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.27%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.23%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.32%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -11.44%E -2.69%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.71%EV -5.82%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.56%EV -7.02%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -8.32%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.75%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -1.02%E -0.216%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -4.15%E -0.902%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.39%E -0.596%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.23%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.39%E -0.596%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -4.15%E -0.902%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -4.15%E -0.902%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -4.15%E -0.902%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.23%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -6.23%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -4.15%E -0.902%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.86%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.23%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -6.78%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -9.78%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -7.28%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.27%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -10.40%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.32%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.32%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.32%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.91%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -10.40%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV -10.40%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -13.37%E -3.77%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.89%EV -7.46%E -4.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -1.02%E -0.216%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -7.46%E -4.41%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.32%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -9.36%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.05%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -9.36%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.05%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -9.36%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.05%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -9.36%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.05%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -9.36%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.05%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -9.36%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.05%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -9.36%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.05%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -9.36%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.05%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -9.36%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.05%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -9.36%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -6.05%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.23%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-06 20:16 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.67%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -9.36%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.35%EV -8.49%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.49%E -2.97%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-07 18:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -12.49%E -2.97%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -9.78%E -2.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -14.59%E -4.17%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -16.65%E -4.16%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -12.15%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-07 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.03%EV -9.10%E -5.48%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -10.40%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -6.05%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -9.65%E -5.85%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.32%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -10.19%E -6.22%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -12.49%E -2.97%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -7.27%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.84%EV -11.29%E -6.97%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -12.49%E -2.97%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.84%EV -11.29%E -6.97%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -12.49%E -2.97%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.84%EV -11.29%E -6.97%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -12.49%E -2.97%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -9.71%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.74%EV -11.29%E -6.97%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -10.40%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -12.15%E -3.37%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 18:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.88% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.88% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-08-07 18:50 |
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