The School of OddsMiddlesbrough v Wrexham AFC
Head to Head
Option 1: Middlesbrough (Local)
Odds
1.9551.28%Min
2.0149.67%Mean
1.9750.76%Median
2.1047.62%Max
Consensus probabilities
43.48%2.300Min
45.86%2.181Max
44.97%2.224Mean
45.39%2.203Median
45.39%2.203IQM
44.87%2.229Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.10 under the IQM model: 45.39%
EV -4.68%Edge -2.23%Kelly -4.25%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Wrexham AFC (Visit)
Odds
3.0033.33%Min
3.1831.44%Mean
3.2031.25%Median
3.3030.30%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.92%3.582Min
30.43%3.286Max
28.72%3.481Mean
28.35%3.527Median
28.35%3.527IQM
28.76%3.478Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.30 under the IQM model: 28.35%
EV -6.44%Edge -1.95%Kelly -2.80%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.4029.41%Min
3.4828.73%Mean
3.4528.99%Median
3.6027.78%Max
Consensus probabilities
25.48%3.925Min
26.83%3.727Max
26.31%3.801Mean
26.26%3.809Median
26.26%3.809IQM
26.37%3.792Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.60 under the IQM model: 26.26%
EV -5.48%Edge -1.52%Kelly -2.11%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Middlesbrough (Local) ▼ | Wrexham AFC (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.05%EV -4.68% E -2.23% K -4.25% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 28.67%EV -6.44% E -1.95% K -2.80% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.28%EV -5.48% E -1.52% K -2.11% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-02 21:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.72%EV -4.68% E -2.23% K -4.25% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 28.46%EV -6.44% E -1.95% K -2.80% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.83%EV -8.11% E -2.32% K -3.24% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-02 21:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.60%EV -4.68% E -2.23% K -4.25% G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06% NM 29.09%EV -8.70% E -2.70% K -3.92% G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09% NM 26.31%EV -6.53% E -1.83% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-02 20:30 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62% NM 43.48%EV -4.68% E -2.23% K -4.25% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -14.94% E -4.98% K -7.47% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.09%EV -8.11% E -2.32% K -3.24% G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62% NM 43.48%EV -4.68% E -2.23% K -4.25% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -14.94% E -4.98% K -7.47% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.09%EV -8.11% E -2.32% K -3.24% G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-02 20:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62% NM 43.48%EV -4.68% E -2.23% K -4.25% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -14.94% E -4.98% K -7.47% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.09%EV -8.11% E -2.32% K -3.24% G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62% NM 43.48%EV -4.68% E -2.23% K -4.25% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -14.94% E -4.98% K -7.47% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.09%EV -8.11% E -2.32% K -3.24% G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-02 20:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.12%EV -6.95% E -3.39% K -6.62% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.46%EV -7.85% E -2.42% K -3.49% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.43%EV -8.11% E -2.32% K -3.24% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-02 21:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.12%EV -6.95% E -3.39% K -6.62% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.46%EV -7.85% E -2.42% K -3.49% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.43%EV -8.11% E -2.32% K -3.24% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-02 21:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.12%EV -6.95% E -3.39% K -6.62% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.46%EV -7.85% E -2.42% K -3.49% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.43%EV -8.11% E -2.32% K -3.24% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-02 21:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50% NM 45.41%EV -8.31% E -4.11% K -8.14% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.12%EV -10.69% E -3.39% K -4.97% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.48%EV -5.48% E -1.52% K -2.11% G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-03 13:30 |
| Unibet | 1.97I 50.76% NM 45.73%EV -10.58% E -5.37% K -10.90% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.15%EV -9.27% E -2.90% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.11%EV -9.42% E -2.73% K -3.84% G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76% NM 45.73%EV -10.58% E -5.37% K -10.90% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.15%EV -9.27% E -2.90% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.11%EV -9.42% E -2.73% K -3.84% G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.97I 50.76% NM 45.73%EV -10.58% E -5.37% K -10.90% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.15%EV -9.27% E -2.90% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.11%EV -9.42% E -2.73% K -3.84% G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.03% E -5.63% K -11.49% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.27% E -2.90% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.42% E -2.73% K -3.84% G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.03% E -5.63% K -11.49% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.27% E -2.90% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.42% E -2.73% K -3.84% G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.03% E -5.63% K -11.49% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.27% E -2.90% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.42% E -2.73% K -3.84% G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 20:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.03% E -5.63% K -11.49% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.27% E -2.90% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.42% E -2.73% K -3.84% G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 20:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.03% E -5.63% K -11.49% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.27% E -2.90% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.42% E -2.73% K -3.84% G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 20:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.03% E -5.63% K -11.49% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.27% E -2.90% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.42% E -2.73% K -3.84% G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.03% E -5.63% K -11.49% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.27% E -2.90% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.42% E -2.73% K -3.84% G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.03% E -5.63% K -11.49% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.27% E -2.90% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.42% E -2.73% K -3.84% G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.03% E -5.63% K -11.49% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.27% E -2.90% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.42% E -2.73% K -3.84% G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02% NM 45.86%EV -11.03% E -5.63% K -11.49% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -9.27% E -2.90% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.05%EV -9.42% E -2.73% K -3.84% G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28% NM 45.81%EV -11.49% E -5.89% K -12.09% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 27.92%EV -9.27% E -2.90% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.27%EV -10.73% E -3.16% K -4.47% G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-02 20:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Middlesbrough (Local) | Wrexham AFC (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.02I 98.04% | 190.3% | 2026-07-02 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.02I 98.04% | 190.3% | 2026-07-02 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.02I 98.04% | 190.3% | 2026-07-02 21:25 |