L’École des cotes

Middlesbrough v Wrexham AFC

2026-08-07 19:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Middlesbrough (Local)

Prévision 52.72%1.90cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -1.93%
Kelly -4.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.86%52.59%52.76%55.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.731.731.8360.98%57.77%57.80%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wrexham AFC (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.80%4.39cote équitable
EV +0.317%
Avantage +0.072%
Kelly +0.093%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.13%22.84%22.82%24.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.014.004.4028.57%24.95%25.00%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.48%4.08cote équitable
EV -4.52%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -1.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.84%24.57%24.42%26.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.743.753.9029.41%26.75%26.67%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -10.90%E -6.45%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV +0.317%E +0.072%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 19:40
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -8.80%E -5.08%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -1.28%E -0.295%K -0.384%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 14:14
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -8.80%E -5.08%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -1.28%E -0.295%K -0.384%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 14:14
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.74%E -4.42%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -1.96%E -0.457%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 19:40
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.17%EV -8.80%E -5.08%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -1.96%E -0.457%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 19:40
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -8.27%E -4.75%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -3.10%E -0.730%K -0.955%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -6.48%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 07:13
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.23%EV -7.21%E -4.10%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.25%EV -4.02%E -0.954%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.52%EV -6.48%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 07:14
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.38%E -6.10%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.24%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -11.96%E -7.16%K -17.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -4.24%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-20 19:40
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.78%EV -7.74%E -4.42%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -5.38%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-20 19:40
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.78%EV -7.74%E -4.42%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -5.38%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-20 19:40
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -7.21%E -4.10%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.64%EV -6.07%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.36%EV -6.24%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 19:40
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -5.10%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 02:39
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.80%E -5.08%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-23 13:25
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.80%E -5.08%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-23 13:24
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.10%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -5.10%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -5.10%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -5.10%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 21:55
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.10%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-20 19:39
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.74%E -4.42%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 07:35
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -8.27%E -4.75%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 07:17
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.74%E -4.42%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-21 14:30
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.74%E -4.42%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 19:39
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.74%E -4.42%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 19:40
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.74%E -4.42%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 19:40
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.38%E -6.10%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.38%E -6.10%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.38%E -6.10%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 19:40
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.38%E -6.10%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 19:40
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.38%E -6.10%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 19:40
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.38%E -6.10%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 19:40
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.38%E -6.10%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 19:40
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.38%E -6.10%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.38%E -6.10%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 19:40
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.38%E -6.10%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 19:40
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.38%E -6.10%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 19:40
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.38%E -6.10%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 19:39
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.38%E -6.10%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 19:40
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.38%E -6.10%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.20%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 19:40
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.74%E -4.42%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.36%E -3.52%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-23 14:35
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -8.27%E -4.75%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.50%E -3.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -10.64%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 23:45
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -8.27%E -4.75%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.50%E -3.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -10.64%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 23:55
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.38%EV -11.96%E -7.16%K -17.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -14.50%E -3.87%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-23 11:19
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.06%EV -11.43%E -6.80%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.64%EV -15.64%E -4.23%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-22 15:39
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -3.52%E -1.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -17.92%E -4.98%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -16.76%E -4.93%K -6.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-10 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 51.44%EV -13.54%E -8.26%K -21.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.10%EV -20.20%E -5.77%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.45%EV -15.54%E -4.50%K -6.34%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-22 15:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-07-26 03:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-07-25 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-07-26 03:15