Leyton Orient v Oxford United

2026-08-08 16:00 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Leyton Orient (Local)

Odds

2.6238.17%Min

2.7236.71%Mean

2.7037.04%Median

2.9034.48%Max

Consensus probabilities

32.51%3.076Min

34.33%2.913Max

33.29%3.003Mean

33.12%3.020Median

33.12%3.020IQM

33.24%3.009Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.90 under the IQM model: 33.12%

EV -3.96%Edge -1.37%Kelly -2.09%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Oxford United (Visit)

Odds

2.2045.45%Min

2.2544.42%Mean

2.2344.84%Median

2.3542.55%Max

Consensus probabilities

39.97%2.502Min

40.89%2.446Max

40.47%2.471Mean

40.56%2.465Median

40.56%2.465IQM

40.48%2.470Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.35 under the IQM model: 40.56%

EV -4.68%Edge -1.99%Kelly -3.47%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.4029.41%Min

3.4728.80%Mean

3.4528.99%Median

3.5528.17%Max

Consensus probabilities

25.70%3.891Min

27.05%3.696Max

26.24%3.811Mean

26.32%3.799Median

26.32%3.799IQM

26.28%3.804Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.55 under the IQM model: 26.32%

EV -6.55%Edge -1.85%Kelly -2.57%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Leyton Orient (Local) ▼	Oxford United (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet	2.95I 33.90% NM 32.52%EV -2.31% E -0.782% K -1.18% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.83%EV -4.68% E -1.99% K -3.47% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.65%EV -5.24% E -1.45% K -2.01% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-26 11:49
Betr (AU)	2.90I 34.48% NM 32.65%EV -3.96% E -1.37% K -2.09% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.29%EV -4.68% E -1.99% K -3.47% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 27.05%EV -7.87% E -2.25% K -3.15% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 02:59
1xBet	2.88I 34.72% NM 32.51%EV -4.63% E -1.61% K -2.46% G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67% NM 40.89%EV -7.12% E -3.11% K -5.52% G +0.000%	3.52I 28.41% NM 26.60%EV -7.34% E -2.09% K -2.91% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-26 18:39
FanDuel	2.85I 35.09% NM 32.75%EV -5.62% E -1.97% K -3.04% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.58%EV -6.71% E -2.92% K -5.16% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.67%EV -7.87% E -2.25% K -3.15% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-26 14:39
SportsBet	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.14%EV -7.28% E -2.60% K -4.04% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.35%EV -6.71% E -2.92% K -5.16% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.51%EV -7.87% E -2.25% K -3.15% G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-26 11:59
Paddy Power	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.14%EV -7.28% E -2.60% K -4.04% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.35%EV -6.71% E -2.92% K -5.16% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.51%EV -7.87% E -2.25% K -3.15% G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-26 11:58
Sky Bet	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.14%EV -7.28% E -2.60% K -4.04% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.35%EV -6.71% E -2.92% K -5.16% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.51%EV -7.87% E -2.25% K -3.15% G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-26 14:29
LeoVegas	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.37%EV -8.93% E -3.25% K -5.10% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.78%EV -8.74% E -3.88% K -6.99% G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17% NM 25.85%EV -6.55% E -1.85% K -2.57% G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-07-02 10:20
BoyleSports	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.69%EV -8.93% E -3.25% K -5.10% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.87%EV -10.77% E -4.89% K -8.97% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.44%EV -10.50% E -3.09% K -4.38% G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-06-27 15:10
BetRivers	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -10.59% E -3.92% K -6.23% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -9.55% E -4.28% K -7.76% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -9.18% E -2.66% K -3.75% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -10.59% E -3.92% K -6.23% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -9.55% E -4.28% K -7.76% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -9.18% E -2.66% K -3.75% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -10.59% E -3.92% K -6.23% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -9.55% E -4.28% K -7.76% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -9.18% E -2.66% K -3.75% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -10.59% E -3.92% K -6.23% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -9.55% E -4.28% K -7.76% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -9.18% E -2.66% K -3.75% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -10.59% E -3.92% K -6.23% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -9.55% E -4.28% K -7.76% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -9.18% E -2.66% K -3.75% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -10.59% E -3.92% K -6.23% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -9.55% E -4.28% K -7.76% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -9.18% E -2.66% K -3.75% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -10.59% E -3.92% K -6.23% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -9.55% E -4.28% K -7.76% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -9.18% E -2.66% K -3.75% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -10.59% E -3.92% K -6.23% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -9.55% E -4.28% K -7.76% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -9.18% E -2.66% K -3.75% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -10.59% E -3.92% K -6.23% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -9.55% E -4.28% K -7.76% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -9.18% E -2.66% K -3.75% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -10.59% E -3.92% K -6.23% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -9.55% E -4.28% K -7.76% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -9.18% E -2.66% K -3.75% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -10.59% E -3.92% K -6.23% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -9.55% E -4.28% K -7.76% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -9.18% E -2.66% K -3.75% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -10.59% E -3.92% K -6.23% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -9.55% E -4.28% K -7.76% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -9.18% E -2.66% K -3.75% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -10.59% E -3.92% K -6.23% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -9.55% E -4.28% K -7.76% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -9.18% E -2.66% K -3.75% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.70I 37.04% NM 31.02%EV -10.59% E -3.92% K -6.23% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 39.89%EV -14.82% E -7.06% K -13.47% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 29.09%EV -24.19% E -8.40% K -12.87% G +0.000%	19.4%	2026-06-26 11:59
William Hill	2.62I 38.17% NM 34.33%EV -13.24% E -5.05% K -8.17% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 39.97%EV -8.74% E -3.88% K -6.99% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 25.70%EV -7.87% E -2.25% K -3.15% G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-06-30 14:00
888sport	2.62I 38.17% NM 34.33%EV -13.24% E -5.05% K -8.17% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 39.97%EV -8.74% E -3.88% K -6.99% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 25.70%EV -7.87% E -2.25% K -3.15% G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)	2.62I 38.17% NM 34.33%EV -13.24% E -5.05% K -8.17% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 39.97%EV -8.74% E -3.88% K -6.99% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 25.70%EV -7.87% E -2.25% K -3.15% G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)	2.62I 38.17% NM 34.33%EV -13.24% E -5.05% K -8.17% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 39.97%EV -8.74% E -3.88% K -6.99% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 25.70%EV -7.87% E -2.25% K -3.15% G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-06-30 14:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Leyton Orient (Local)	Oxford United (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:39