La escuela de los momios

Leyton Orient v Oxford United

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Leyton Orient (Local)

Predicción 34.31%2.91momio equitativo
EV -4.96%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -2.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.41%34.38%34.38%36.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.662.702.7741.67%37.62%37.04%36.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oxford United (Visitante)

Predicción 37.79%2.65momio equitativo
EV -1.76%
Ventaja -0.676%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.02%37.74%37.77%40.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.382.402.6045.45%41.96%41.67%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.90%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -0.667%
Kelly -0.934%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.14%27.88%27.84%29.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.343.353.5032.26%29.98%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 33.88%EV -4.96%E -1.79%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.69%EV -5.91%E -2.38%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 19:40
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 19:45
1xBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.67%E -2.70%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 06:04
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.67%E -2.70%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 05:59
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 19:40
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.54%E -2.21%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.33%E -0.667%K -0.934%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 19:45
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 19:45
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 19:44
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 19:45
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -5.54%E -2.21%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 19:40
betano_uk2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 19:40
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 19:39
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -15.74%E -7.06%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -15.74%E -7.06%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -15.74%E -7.06%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -15.74%E -7.06%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -15.74%E -7.06%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -15.74%E -7.06%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -15.74%E -7.06%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -15.74%E -7.06%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -15.74%E -7.06%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -15.74%E -7.06%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -15.74%E -7.06%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -15.74%E -7.06%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -15.74%E -7.06%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -7.36%E -2.73%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -15.74%E -7.06%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -3.73%E -1.08%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-16 14:05
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -9.08%E -3.43%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -3.65%E -1.43%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-22 02:39
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.08%E -3.43%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 14:30
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.08%E -3.43%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.43%E -3.03%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 19:40
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.08%E -3.43%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.46%EV -9.76%E -3.71%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.92%E -2.40%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 19:45
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -10.11%E -3.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.76%E -0.676%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -10.11%E -3.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -1.76%E -0.676%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.12%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 21:55
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.11%E -3.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.21%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 19:40
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.11%E -3.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.21%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 19:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.11%E -3.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -5.54%E -2.21%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 19:39
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -10.11%E -3.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -9.32%E -3.88%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -1.76%E -0.676%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -1.76%E -0.676%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.52%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 21:55
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -10.07%E -4.23%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -9.31%E -2.86%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 14:30
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -12.51%E -4.91%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.79%EV -12.34%E -5.32%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -12.10%E -3.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 19:40
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -14.22%E -5.69%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -13.09%E -5.69%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-22 15:39
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 36.04%EV -14.91%E -6.01%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.04%EV -6.29%E -2.54%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-21 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 36.04%EV -14.91%E -6.01%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.04%EV -6.29%E -2.54%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.71%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-21 14:30
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.90%EV -17.66%E -7.36%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.08%EV -16.87%E -7.67%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.02%EV -13.50%E -4.35%K -6.43%G +0.000%19.4%2026-07-22 15:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 32.78%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.35%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%9.7%2026-07-25 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 32.78%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.35%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%9.7%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 32.78%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.35%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%9.7%2026-07-25 23:30