Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leyton Orient v Oxford United

Início: 2026-08-08 13:59 UTC

Final: Leyton Orient 2–0 Oxford United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leyton Orient (Local)

Previsão 30.16%3.32odd justa
EV -3.48%
Vantagem -1.09%
Kelly -1.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.83%30.13%30.27%31.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.083.103.2034.48%32.51%32.26%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Oxford United (Visitante)

Previsão 41.95%2.38odd justa
EV -2.67%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -2.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.94%42.06%41.89%43.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.172.202.3248.78%46.02%45.45%43.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.89%3.59odd justa
EV +0.111%
Vantagem +0.031%
Kelly +0.043%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.04%27.81%27.84%29.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.333.353.5932.26%30.06%29.85%27.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Leyton Orient (Local): 30.16%; Oxford United (Visitante): 41.95%; Empate: 27.89%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.586. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.590, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.111%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.27%EV -9.82%E -3.28%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.69%EV -8.12%E -3.71%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.04%EV +0.111%E +0.031%K +0.043%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:49
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.40%E -0.685%K -0.960%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 13:09
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -2.40%E -0.685%K -0.960%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:24
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.40%E -0.685%K -0.960%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 13:15
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.40%E -0.685%K -0.960%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 13:24
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -3.79%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 13:14
betano_uk🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -5.90%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 13:49
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -5.90%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 13:55
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 13:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:09
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:10
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:15
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.11%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:34
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -14.00%E -6.83%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -5.19%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 13:14
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:55
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:55
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:55
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -10.22%E -4.78%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.58%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:54
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.98%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 13:55
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.98%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:09
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -12.74%E -6.12%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.98%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -4.99%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -12.74%E -6.12%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.98%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 13:55
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.90%E -5.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.98%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 13:40
Pinnacle🎯3.19I 31.35%NM 29.87%EV -3.78%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.07%EV -2.67%E -1.15%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.05%EV -8.53%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -5.90%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.65%EV -6.03%E -2.69%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -8.53%E -2.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:49
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -3.48%E -1.09%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 13:55
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.61%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.48%EV -6.87%E -3.09%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 13:35
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -8.01%E -2.63%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.48%EV -6.87%E -3.09%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 13:34
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 13:09
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 13:09
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 13:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 13:10
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.37%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 13:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:34
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 13:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.50%E -2.10%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 13:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -12.53%E -4.32%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.78%EV -11.06%E -5.22%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.91%EV -13.58%E -6.59%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.91%EV -13.58%E -6.59%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:54
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.91%EV -13.58%E -6.59%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.76%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.51%E -3.17%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.55%E -4.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 13:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.41%2.38I 42.02%NM 42.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.57%0.0%2026-08-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-08-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55