Grimsby Town v Blackpool

2026-08-08 16:00 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Grimsby Town (Local)

Odds

2.7037.04%Min

2.7536.35%Mean

2.7037.04%Median

2.9034.48%Max

Consensus probabilities

32.37%3.089Min

33.61%2.975Max

32.87%3.042Mean

32.87%3.042Median

32.87%3.042IQM

32.81%3.048Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.90 under the IQM model: 32.87%

EV -4.67%Edge -1.61%Kelly -2.46%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Blackpool (Visit)

Odds

2.2344.84%Min

2.2644.33%Mean

2.2344.84%Median

2.3542.55%Max

Consensus probabilities

39.76%2.515Min

40.81%2.450Max

40.21%2.487Mean

40.15%2.490Median

40.15%2.490IQM

40.30%2.481Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.35 under the IQM model: 40.15%

EV -5.64%Edge -2.40%Kelly -4.18%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.2530.77%Min

3.4329.17%Mean

3.4528.99%Median

3.5428.25%Max

Consensus probabilities

26.12%3.828Min

27.58%3.626Max

26.91%3.716Mean

26.97%3.707Median

26.97%3.707IQM

26.89%3.719Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.54 under the IQM model: 26.97%

EV -4.52%Edge -1.28%Kelly -1.78%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Grimsby Town (Local) ▼	Blackpool (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet	2.95I 33.90% NM 32.52%EV -3.03% E -1.03% K -1.55% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.83%EV -5.64% E -2.40% K -4.18% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.65%EV -2.90% E -0.805% K -1.11% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-26 11:49
Betr (AU)	2.90I 34.48% NM 32.65%EV -4.67% E -1.61% K -2.46% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.29%EV -5.64% E -2.40% K -4.18% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 27.05%EV -5.59% E -1.60% K -2.24% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-30 02:59
FanDuel	2.90I 34.48% NM 32.37%EV -4.67% E -1.61% K -2.46% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.81%EV -7.65% E -3.32% K -5.88% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.82%EV -5.59% E -1.60% K -2.24% G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-26 14:39
Paddy Power	2.88I 34.72% NM 32.52%EV -5.33% E -1.85% K -2.83% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.72%EV -7.65% E -3.32% K -5.88% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.76%EV -5.59% E -1.60% K -2.24% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-26 11:48
Sky Bet	2.88I 34.72% NM 32.52%EV -5.33% E -1.85% K -2.83% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.72%EV -7.65% E -3.32% K -5.88% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.76%EV -5.59% E -1.60% K -2.24% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-26 14:29
SportsBet	2.87I 34.84% NM 32.60%EV -5.66% E -1.97% K -3.02% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.67%EV -7.65% E -3.32% K -5.88% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.73%EV -5.59% E -1.60% K -2.24% G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-06-26 11:49
1xBet	2.79I 35.84% NM 33.61%EV -8.29% E -2.97% K -4.63% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 39.90%EV -5.64% E -2.40% K -4.18% G +0.000%	3.54I 28.25% NM 26.49%EV -4.52% E -1.28% K -1.78% G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-06-30 13:09
LeoVegas	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.25%EV -9.60% E -3.49% K -5.49% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.63%EV -9.65% E -4.29% K -7.72% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.12%EV -5.59% E -1.60% K -2.24% G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-07-02 10:20
William Hill	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.59%EV -9.60% E -3.49% K -5.49% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 39.83%EV -9.65% E -4.29% K -7.72% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.58%EV -12.34% E -3.80% K -5.48% G +0.000%	11.6%	2026-06-30 14:00
888sport	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.59%EV -9.60% E -3.49% K -5.49% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 39.83%EV -9.65% E -4.29% K -7.72% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.58%EV -12.34% E -3.80% K -5.48% G +0.000%	11.6%	2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.59%EV -9.60% E -3.49% K -5.49% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 39.83%EV -9.65% E -4.29% K -7.72% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.58%EV -12.34% E -3.80% K -5.48% G +0.000%	11.6%	2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.59%EV -9.60% E -3.49% K -5.49% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 39.83%EV -9.65% E -4.29% K -7.72% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.58%EV -12.34% E -3.80% K -5.48% G +0.000%	11.6%	2026-06-30 14:19
BetRivers	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -11.24% E -4.16% K -6.61% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -10.46% E -4.69% K -8.50% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -6.94% E -2.01% K -2.83% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -11.24% E -4.16% K -6.61% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -10.46% E -4.69% K -8.50% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -6.94% E -2.01% K -2.83% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -11.24% E -4.16% K -6.61% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -10.46% E -4.69% K -8.50% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -6.94% E -2.01% K -2.83% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -11.24% E -4.16% K -6.61% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -10.46% E -4.69% K -8.50% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -6.94% E -2.01% K -2.83% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -11.24% E -4.16% K -6.61% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -10.46% E -4.69% K -8.50% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -6.94% E -2.01% K -2.83% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -11.24% E -4.16% K -6.61% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -10.46% E -4.69% K -8.50% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -6.94% E -2.01% K -2.83% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -11.24% E -4.16% K -6.61% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -10.46% E -4.69% K -8.50% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -6.94% E -2.01% K -2.83% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -11.24% E -4.16% K -6.61% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -10.46% E -4.69% K -8.50% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -6.94% E -2.01% K -2.83% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -11.24% E -4.16% K -6.61% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -10.46% E -4.69% K -8.50% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -6.94% E -2.01% K -2.83% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -11.24% E -4.16% K -6.61% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -10.46% E -4.69% K -8.50% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -6.94% E -2.01% K -2.83% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -11.24% E -4.16% K -6.61% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -10.46% E -4.69% K -8.50% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -6.94% E -2.01% K -2.83% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -11.24% E -4.16% K -6.61% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -10.46% E -4.69% K -8.50% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -6.94% E -2.01% K -2.83% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.41%EV -11.24% E -4.16% K -6.61% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.45%EV -10.46% E -4.69% K -8.50% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.14%EV -6.94% E -2.01% K -2.83% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-06-30 08:39
BoyleSports	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.13%EV -11.24% E -4.16% K -6.61% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 39.76%EV -9.65% E -4.29% K -7.72% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.11%EV -10.99% E -3.33% K -4.78% G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-06-27 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.70I 37.04% NM 31.60%EV -11.24% E -4.16% K -6.61% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 38.78%EV -11.66% E -5.30% K -9.72% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 29.62%EV -22.32% E -7.75% K -11.87% G +0.000%	17.2%	2026-06-26 11:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Grimsby Town (Local)	Blackpool (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:39