Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grimsby Town v Blackpool

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 13:59 UTC

Final: Grimsby Town 1–3 Blackpool

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grimsby Town (Local)

Prediction 39.47%2.53fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.74%39.44%39.40%40.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.382.4545.45%42.31%42.02%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Blackpool (Visit)

Prediction 33.20%3.01fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -0.927%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.16%33.18%33.31%34.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.752.9338.46%36.30%36.36%34.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.33%3.66fair odd
EV -0.248%
Edge -0.068%
Kelly -0.094%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.63%27.37%27.28%28.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.353.323.6532.26%29.86%30.12%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grimsby Town (Local): 39.47%; Blackpool (Visit): 33.20%; Draw: 27.33%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.65, with an expected value of -0.248%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:44
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:45
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:45
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:44
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:44
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:45
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.41%EV -4.49%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.55%EV -2.72%E -0.927%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.52%EV -4.49%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -7.37%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -9.27%E -2.79%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:49
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.65%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.16%EV -4.71%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 10:15
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.37%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 10:15
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 06:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 07:04
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 13:33
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 13:33
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 10:10
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 10:10
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:50
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.70%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:50
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.70%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.32%EV -6.46%E -2.73%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 10:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.37%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 13:09
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:55
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.37%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 13:55
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -8.04%E -3.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -8.04%E -3.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:50
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -5.37%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:10
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.71%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.37%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:05
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 13:54
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 13:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:54
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.85%EV -9.62%E -4.20%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.53%EV -7.37%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -0.248%E -0.068%K -0.094%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.71%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:09
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -15.28%E -4.93%K -7.28%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.77%EV -12.38%E -5.58%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.07%EV -11.35%E -4.25%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 13:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-08 13:50
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-08 13:40

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