La escuela de los momios

Grimsby Town v Blackpool

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Grimsby Town (Local)

Predicción 38.61%2.59momio equitativo
EV +4.24%
Ventaja +1.57%
Kelly +2.50%
Crecimiento +0.106%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.41%38.32%38.68%40.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.472.422.7045.45%40.41%41.41%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Blackpool (Visitante)

Predicción 33.96%2.94momio equitativo
EV -4.57%
Ventaja -1.63%
Kelly -2.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.06%34.34%33.92%40.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.232.562.702.8144.84%39.13%37.04%35.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.43%3.65momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.348%
Kelly -0.482%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.14%27.35%27.41%28.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.393.403.6031.75%29.51%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV +4.24%E +1.57%K +2.50%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -24.27%E -10.88%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV +4.24%E +1.57%K +2.50%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -24.27%E -10.88%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV +4.24%E +1.57%K +2.50%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -24.27%E -10.88%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV +4.24%E +1.57%K +2.50%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -24.27%E -10.88%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV +4.24%E +1.57%K +2.50%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -24.27%E -10.88%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV +4.24%E +1.57%K +2.50%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -24.27%E -10.88%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV +4.24%E +1.57%K +2.50%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -24.27%E -10.88%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV +4.24%E +1.57%K +2.50%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -24.27%E -10.88%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV +4.24%E +1.57%K +2.50%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -24.27%E -10.88%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV +4.24%E +1.57%K +2.50%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -24.27%E -10.88%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV +4.24%E +1.57%K +2.50%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -24.27%E -10.88%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV +4.24%E +1.57%K +2.50%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -24.27%E -10.88%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV +4.24%E +1.57%K +2.50%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -24.27%E -10.88%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV +4.24%E +1.57%K +2.50%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -24.27%E -10.88%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.14%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-16 14:05
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -3.48%E -1.39%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -8.30%E -3.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 19:19
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -3.48%E -1.39%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -8.30%E -3.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.41%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.30%E -3.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.41%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.30%E -3.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -5.41%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.30%E -3.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 21:55
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -5.41%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -10.00%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 20:05
Pinnacle2.42I 41.32%NM 38.80%EV -6.57%E -2.71%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.42%EV -4.57%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.78%EV -7.29%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 20:40
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -6.57%E -2.71%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.06%EV -7.62%E -2.80%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 15:15
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -6.57%E -2.71%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.06%EV -7.62%E -2.80%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 15:15
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.73%EV -6.95%E -2.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.82%EV -6.27%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:34
Marathon Bet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.73%EV -6.95%E -2.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.82%EV -6.27%E -2.27%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:25
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.34%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -1.25%E -0.348%K -0.482%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 19:20
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.34%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 19:20
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.34%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.30%E -3.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 19:20
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.34%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.30%E -3.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 19:20
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.34%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.30%E -3.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.00%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 19:20
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.34%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -4.91%E -1.75%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 15:24
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.34%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -10.00%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 20:25
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.34%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -10.00%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 19:20
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 15:25
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 15:25
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 15:25
betano_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.30%E -3.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 15:14
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -8.30%E -3.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 15:14
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.27%E -3.94%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -8.30%E -3.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-23 14:32
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.20%E -4.87%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -8.30%E -3.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-23 14:35
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -11.20%E -4.87%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -11.02%E -4.21%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-23 14:35
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -13.13%E -5.84%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -11.70%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-23 09:44
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.58%EV -13.13%E -5.84%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.72%EV -15.10%E -6.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.71%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-22 15:39
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -15.06%E -6.85%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.06%EV -5.59%E -2.01%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-21 14:30
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -15.06%E -6.85%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.06%EV -5.59%E -2.01%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-21 14:30
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.24%EV -15.06%E -6.85%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.05%EV -18.49%E -7.71%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.71%EV -13.60%E -4.32%K -6.32%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-22 15:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.09%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%7.6%2026-07-25 22:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.09%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%7.6%2026-07-25 22:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 38.09%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%7.6%2026-07-25 22:30