Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Grimsby Town v Blackpool

Início: 2026-08-08 13:59 UTC

Final: Grimsby Town 1–3 Blackpool

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Grimsby Town (Local)

Previsão 39.47%2.53odd justa
EV -3.30%
Vantagem -1.35%
Kelly -2.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.74%39.44%39.40%40.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.362.382.4545.45%42.31%42.02%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Blackpool (Visitante)

Previsão 33.20%3.01odd justa
EV -2.72%
Vantagem -0.927%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.16%33.18%33.31%34.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.752.752.9338.46%36.30%36.36%34.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.33%3.66odd justa
EV -0.248%
Vantagem -0.068%
Kelly -0.094%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.63%27.37%27.28%28.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.353.323.6532.26%29.86%30.12%27.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Grimsby Town (Local): 39.47%; Blackpool (Visitante): 33.20%; Empate: 27.33%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.66. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.65, com valor esperado de -0.248%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:44
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:45
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:45
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:44
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:44
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -3.30%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:45
Pinnacle🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.41%EV -4.49%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.55%EV -2.72%E -0.927%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.52%EV -4.49%E -1.85%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -7.37%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -9.27%E -2.79%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:49
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.65%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.16%EV -4.71%E -1.64%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 10:15
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.37%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 10:15
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 06:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 07:04
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 13:33
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -4.38%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 13:33
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 10:10
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-06 10:10
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:50
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.70%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:50
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.70%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.32%EV -6.46%E -2.73%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 10:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.37%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.35%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 13:09
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.71%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:55
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.37%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 13:55
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -7.25%E -3.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -13.67%E -5.26%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -13.91%E -4.42%K -6.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -8.04%E -3.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.09%EV -8.04%E -3.45%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -8.45%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:50
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -5.37%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:10
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.71%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.37%E -1.89%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:05
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -7.03%E -2.51%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 13:54
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 13:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.22%E -4.01%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.81%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:54
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.85%EV -9.62%E -4.20%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.53%EV -7.37%E -2.64%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -0.248%E -0.068%K -0.094%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.71%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:09
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.69%E -3.16%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -15.28%E -4.93%K -7.28%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.77%EV -12.38%E -5.58%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.07%EV -11.35%E -4.25%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -11.18%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.35%E -3.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.08%E -2.08%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 13:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-08 13:50
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-08 13:40