Language:English
Fleetwood Town v Shrewsbury Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fleetwood Town (Local)
Prediction 47.98%2.08fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -3.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.07%48.04%47.84%50.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.952.0254.64%51.31%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shrewsbury Town (Visit)
Prediction 24.27%4.12fair odd
EV +1.92%
Edge +0.457%
Kelly +0.599%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.27%24.17%24.36%25.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.783.754.2028.57%26.43%26.67%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.75%3.60fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -0.819%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.64%27.79%27.80%28.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.403.5032.26%30.03%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fleetwood Town (Local): 47.98%; Shrewsbury Town (Visit): 24.27%; Draw: 27.75%. For Shrewsbury Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +1.92%E +0.457%K +0.599%G +0.011% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -0.509%E -0.124%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%EV -5.48%E -2.78%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.68%EV -2.45%E -0.610%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%EV -5.48%E -2.78%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.68%EV -2.45%E -0.610%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-25 18:37 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:18 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.86%EV -3.56%E -1.77%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.17%EV -3.42%E -0.860%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.97%EV -4.53%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.06%EV -5.00%E -2.52%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.03%EV -3.91%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -5.37%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.15%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.15%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -6.58%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -5.00%E -2.52%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -10.27%E -5.49%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -10.27%E -5.49%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -3.08%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -11.23%E -6.07%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.17%EV -11.23%E -6.07%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.66%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-25 18:32 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -9.79%E -5.21%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -15.07%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.93%EV -9.31%E -4.93%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.07%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.93%EV -9.31%E -4.93%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.07%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -9.79%E -5.21%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.07%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |