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Fleetwood Town v Shrewsbury Town
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Fleetwood Town (Хозяева)
Прогноз 47.98%2.08справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.08%
Преимущество -1.52%
Kelly -3.02%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.02
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
46.07%48.04%47.84%50.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.831.951.952.0254.64%51.31%51.28%49.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Shrewsbury Town (Гости)
Прогноз 24.27%4.12справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.92%
Преимущество +0.457%
Kelly +0.599%
Рост +0.011%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.27%24.17%24.36%25.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.783.754.2028.57%26.43%26.67%23.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.75%3.60справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.87%
Преимущество -0.819%
Kelly -1.15%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.64%27.79%27.80%28.98%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.333.403.5032.26%30.03%29.41%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Fleetwood Town (Хозяева): 47.98%; Shrewsbury Town (Гости): 24.27%; Ничья: 27.75%. Для исхода «Shrewsbury Town (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.12. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.20, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.92%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +1.92%E +0.457%K +0.599%G +0.011% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-25 18:23 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -0.509%E -0.124%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%EV -5.48%E -2.78%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.68%EV -2.45%E -0.610%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%EV -5.48%E -2.78%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.68%EV -2.45%E -0.610%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 18:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-25 18:37 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 18:18 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.86%EV -3.56%E -1.77%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.17%EV -3.42%E -0.860%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.97%EV -4.53%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.06%EV -5.00%E -2.52%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.03%EV -3.91%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -5.37%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.15%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.15%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -6.58%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -5.00%E -2.52%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -10.27%E -5.49%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -10.27%E -5.49%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -3.08%E -1.52%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -7.03%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -11.23%E -6.07%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.04%E -2.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -2.87%E -0.819%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.17%EV -11.23%E -6.07%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.42%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-25 18:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.66%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.64%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -7.40%E -3.83%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.81%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-25 18:32 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -6.44%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -13.97%E -4.51%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-25 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -9.79%E -5.21%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -15.07%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.42%E -2.55%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-25 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.93%EV -9.31%E -4.93%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.07%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.93%EV -9.31%E -4.93%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -15.07%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -9.79%E -5.21%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -15.07%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -11.19%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-08-25 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-08-25 18:39 |